generated from coulomb/repo-seed
Complete Economic Observatory MVP (ADAPTIVE-WP-0002)
Add file-based Bubble, Stripe, and OpenRouter importers; usage attribution, cost allocation, pricing simulator, credit wallets, and recommendations in the dashboard API. Document whynot-design UI workflow and archive the finished workplan with all ten tasks marked done.
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,211 @@
|
||||
---
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002
|
||||
type: workplan
|
||||
title: "Economic Observatory MVP (Coulomb Social)"
|
||||
domain: helix_forge
|
||||
repo: adaptive-pricing
|
||||
status: finished
|
||||
owner: codex
|
||||
topic_slug: helix-forge
|
||||
created: "2026-06-21"
|
||||
updated: "2026-06-22"
|
||||
state_hub_workstream_id: "9e0b7784-702a-4bc7-b7a1-3ff801f9c768"
|
||||
---
|
||||
|
||||
# Economic Observatory MVP (Coulomb Social)
|
||||
|
||||
Build the first practical implementation of the Adaptive Pricing framework using
|
||||
Coulomb Social memberships as a live economic laboratory.
|
||||
|
||||
The MVP focuses on observation, measurement, simulation, and pricing discovery
|
||||
before introducing adaptive customer pricing.
|
||||
|
||||
## Context
|
||||
|
||||
### Current Product: Coulomb Social
|
||||
|
||||
**Membership:** €8.99/month subscription, managed through Bubble.io, paid through
|
||||
Stripe, grants repository and community access.
|
||||
|
||||
**Fixed costs:** Bubble.io subscription (~$35/month), domains, operational overhead.
|
||||
|
||||
**Variable costs:** Stripe transaction fees, future OpenRouter AI consumption costs.
|
||||
|
||||
### MVP Vision
|
||||
|
||||
The MVP shall provide an Economic Observatory capable of answering:
|
||||
|
||||
1. What does a member actually cost?
|
||||
2. What is the current CostFloor?
|
||||
3. What margin exists at current pricing?
|
||||
4. How much AI cost is generated by individual members?
|
||||
5. Which pricing models appear viable?
|
||||
6. Which customer segments emerge?
|
||||
7. When would usage-based pricing become necessary?
|
||||
|
||||
### Scope
|
||||
|
||||
**Included:** membership analytics, revenue tracking, cost tracking, OpenRouter cost
|
||||
attribution, CostFloor calculation, margin analysis, pricing simulations, pricing
|
||||
model registry.
|
||||
|
||||
**Excluded:** dynamic pricing, automated price changes, customer-tunable pricing,
|
||||
advanced LTV optimization, marketplace pricing.
|
||||
|
||||
### Success Criteria
|
||||
|
||||
The MVP is successful when it can:
|
||||
|
||||
- Calculate CostFloor
|
||||
- Calculate Margin
|
||||
- Attribute AI cost to members
|
||||
- Simulate alternative pricing models
|
||||
- Compare subscription and usage-based models
|
||||
- Explain economic outcomes
|
||||
- Produce pricing recommendations
|
||||
|
||||
**Completed 2026-06-22** via ledger-backed economics engine, web UI, file-based
|
||||
importers (Bubble / Stripe / OpenRouter), pricing simulator, credit wallets, and
|
||||
recommendation engine under `projects/coulomb-pricing/observatory/`.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 1 — Economic Foundations
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T01
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "fac96369-a037-4b7e-a1ed-92659bce7e4e"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Create the core economic model.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-21: `projects/coulomb-pricing/observatory/` with JSON registries
|
||||
under `data/`, economics snapshot engine, CLI dashboard (`python3 -m
|
||||
observatory`), sample report `reports/economics-2026-06.md`, and pytest suite.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 2 — Bubble.io Integration
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T02
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "42c181f9-9f4e-414e-aa94-b08c763abdef"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Import membership information.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `observatory/importers/bubble.py` (JSON export →
|
||||
`membership.json`), `membership_analytics` in dashboard API, sample export under
|
||||
`data/imports/bubble-export.sample.json`.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 3 — Stripe Integration
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T03
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "c7e308bc-5977-40c8-985a-9dca2ad3984a"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Capture actual revenue and payment costs.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `observatory/importers/stripe.py` (charge export →
|
||||
`payment_records.json`); live ledger already holds tegwick Stripe payments.
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 4 — OpenRouter Cost Attribution
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T04
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "b2b61910-429c-46e9-93b8-25702ca337a7"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Track AI usage and cost.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `observatory/importers/openrouter.py`, `data/usage_records.json`,
|
||||
`observatory/usage.py` (per-member and per-model attribution in API).
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 5 — Cost Allocation Engine
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T05
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "906009be-5670-428a-b6d1-2700c67e9c65"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Calculate economic reality.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `observatory/allocation.py` — fixed/variable split, cost floor,
|
||||
contribution margin in `/api/dashboard` (`cost_allocation`).
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 6 — Pricing Simulator
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T06
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "cb735e7d-72ac-41df-97d4-e0133cb4bb84"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Evaluate pricing scenarios.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `observatory/simulator.py` compares active and candidate models
|
||||
from `pricing-models.json` (`pricing_simulations` in API).
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 7 — Membership Credit System
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T07
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "aa8efb52-dbd8-4309-a15d-ea04d80c57f6"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Introduce AI credit accounting without billing.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `data/credit_wallets.json`, `observatory/credits.py`
|
||||
(observatory-only wallet balances in API).
|
||||
|
||||
## Sprint 8 — Adaptive Pricing Prototype
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T08
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: low
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "d8195bf0-5b0d-4fbd-9776-0b619097c64f"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Implement first pricing optimization logic.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `observatory/recommendations.py` — rules-based recommendations
|
||||
from cost floor, value range, market signals, and simulator output.
|
||||
|
||||
## Economic Observatory Web UI
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T09
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: high
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "cfcfa53d-8e7d-464f-977c-d146dd252c35"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Whynot-design UI with ledger-backed API.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `ui/` + `observatory/server.py`, whynot-design vendor sync,
|
||||
`docs/UI-WORKFLOW.md`. Three panels: Cost Floor, Value Range, Market Price.
|
||||
|
||||
## Pricing Context Views
|
||||
|
||||
```task
|
||||
id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T10
|
||||
status: done
|
||||
priority: medium
|
||||
state_hub_task_id: "563cbded-ad2a-4ee8-8779-18f7e55970df"
|
||||
```
|
||||
|
||||
Cost floor, value range, and market price observatory views.
|
||||
|
||||
Done 2026-06-22: `observatory/pricing_context.py`, `data/value_range.json`,
|
||||
`data/market_signals.json`, wired into UI and API.
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user