feat(llm): add LLM integration module with OpenRouter and Claude Code adapters
Implements markitect/llm/ package with concrete LLMAdapter implementations:
- OpenRouterAdapter: HTTP via urllib with retry/backoff on 429/5xx
- ClaudeCodeAdapter: subprocess-based Claude CLI with stdin piping
- Factory pattern: create_adapter("openrouter") or create_adapter("claude-code")
- API key resolution chain: constructor > env var > project-root key file
- 42 unit tests, 2 integration tests (gated on API key / CLI availability)
Also adds the infospace-with-history example with Wealth of Nations VSM
analysis pipeline, templates, schemas, source chapters, and processed
output for chapters 1-2. process_chapters.py now supports --provider
and --model flags for automatic LLM-driven processing.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,360 @@
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---
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id: book-1-chapter-07
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title: "OF THE NATURAL AND MARKET PRICE OF COMMODITIES."
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book: "1"
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chapter: 7
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artifact_type: content
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---
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CHAPTER VII.
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OF THE NATURAL AND MARKET PRICE OF COMMODITIES.
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There is in every society or neighbourhood an ordinary or average rate,
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both of wages and profit, in every different employment of labour and
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stock. This rate is naturally regulated, as I shall shew hereafter, partly
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by the general circumstances of the society, their riches or poverty,
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their advancing, stationary, or declining condition, and partly by the
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particular nature of each employment.
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There is likewise in every society or neighbourhood an ordinary or average
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rate of rent, which is regulated, too, as I shall shew hereafter, partly
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by the general circumstances of the society or neighbourhood in which the
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land is situated, and partly by the natural or improved fertility of the
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land.
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These ordinary or average rates may be called the natural rates of wages,
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profit and rent, at the time and place in which they commonly prevail.
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When the price of any commodity is neither more nor less than what is
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sufficient to pay the rent of the land, the wages of the labour, and the
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profits of the stock employed in raising, preparing, and bringing it to
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market, according to their natural rates, the commodity is then sold for
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what may be called its natural price.
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The commodity is then sold precisely for what it is worth, or for what it
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really costs the person who brings it to market; for though, in common
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language, what is called the prime cost of any commodity does not
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comprehend the profit of the person who is to sell it again, yet, if he
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sells it at a price which does not allow him the ordinary rate of profit
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in his neighbourhood, he is evidently a loser by the trade; since, by
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employing his stock in some other way, he might have made that profit. His
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profit, besides, is his revenue, the proper fund of his subsistence. As,
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while he is preparing and bringing the goods to market, he advances to his
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workmen their wages, or their subsistence; so he advances to himself, in
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the same manner, his own subsistence, which is generally suitable to the
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profit which he may reasonably expect from the sale of his goods. Unless
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they yield him this profit, therefore, they do not repay him what they may
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very properly be said to have really cost him.
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Though the price, therefore, which leaves him this profit, is not always
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the lowest at which a dealer may sometimes sell his goods, it is the
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lowest at which he is likely to sell them for any considerable time; at
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least where there is perfect liberty, or where he may change his trade as
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often as he pleases.
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The actual price at which any commodity is commonly sold, is called its
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market price. It may either be above, or below, or exactly the same with
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its natural price.
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The market price of every particular commodity is regulated by the
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proportion between the quantity which is actually brought to market, and
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the demand of those who are willing to pay the natural price of the
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commodity, or the whole value of the rent, labour, and profit, which must
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be paid in order to bring it thither. Such people may be called the
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effectual demanders, and their demand the effectual demand; since it maybe
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sufficient to effectuate the bringing of the commodity to market. It is
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different from the absolute demand. A very poor man may be said, in some
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sense, to have a demand for a coach and six; he might like to have it; but
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his demand is not an effectual demand, as the commodity can never be
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brought to market in order to satisfy it.
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When the quantity of any commodity which is brought to market falls short
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of the effectual demand, all those who are willing to pay the whole value
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of the rent, wages, and profit, which must be paid in order to bring it
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thither, cannot be supplied with the quantity which they want. Rather than
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want it altogether, some of them will be willing to give more. A
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competition will immediately begin among them, and the market price will
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rise more or less above the natural price, according as either the
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greatness of the deficiency, or the wealth and wanton luxury of the
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competitors, happen to animate more or less the eagerness of the
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competition. Among competitors of equal wealth and luxury, the same
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deficiency will generally occasion a more or less eager competition,
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according as the acquisition of the commodity happens to be of more or
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less importance to them. Hence the exorbitant price of the necessaries of
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life during the blockade of a town, or in a famine.
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When the quantity brought to market exceeds the effectual demand, it
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cannot be all sold to those who are willing to pay the whole value of the
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rent, wages, and profit, which must be paid in order to bring it thither.
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Some part must be sold to those who are willing to pay less, and the low
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price which they give for it must reduce the price of the whole. The
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market price will sink more or less below the natural price, according as
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the greatness of the excess increases more or less the competition of the
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sellers, or according as it happens to be more or less important to them
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to get immediately rid of the commodity. The same excess in the
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importation of perishable, will occasion a much greater competition than
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in that of durable commodities; in the importation of oranges, for
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example, than in that of old iron.
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When the quantity brought to market is just sufficient to supply the
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effectual demand, and no more, the market price naturally comes to be
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either exactly, or as nearly as can be judged of, the same with the
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natural price. The whole quantity upon hand can be disposed of for this
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price, and can not be disposed of for more. The competition of the
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different dealers obliges them all to accept of this price, but does not
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oblige them to accept of less.
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The quantity of every commodity brought to market naturally suits itself
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to the effectual demand. It is the interest of all those who employ their
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land, labour, or stock, in bringing any commodity to market, that the
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quantity never should exceed the effectual demand; and it is the interest
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of all other people that it never should fall short of that demand.
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If at any time it exceeds the effectual demand, some of the component
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parts of its price must be paid below their natural rate. If it is rent,
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the interest of the landlords will immediately prompt them to withdraw a
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part of their land; and if it is wages or profit, the interest of the
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labourers in the one case, and of their employers in the other, will
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prompt them to withdraw a part of their labour or stock, from this
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employment. The quantity brought to market will soon be no more than
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sufficient to supply the effectual demand. All the different parts of its
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price will rise to their natural rate, and the whole price to its natural
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price.
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If, on the contrary, the quantity brought to market should at any time
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fall short of the effectual demand, some of the component parts of its
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price must rise above their natural rate. If it is rent, the interest of
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all other landlords will naturally prompt them to prepare more land for
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the raising of this commodity; if it is wages or profit, the interest of
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all other labourers and dealers will soon prompt them to employ more
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labour and stock in preparing and bringing it to market. The quantity
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brought thither will soon be sufficient to supply the effectual demand.
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All the different parts of its price will soon sink to their natural rate,
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and the whole price to its natural price.
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The natural price, therefore, is, as it were, the central price, to which
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the prices of all commodities are continually gravitating. Different
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accidents may sometimes keep them suspended a good deal above it, and
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sometimes force them down even somewhat below it. But whatever may be the
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obstacles which hinder them from settling in this centre of repose and
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continuance, they are constantly tending towards it.
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The whole quantity of industry annually employed in order to bring any
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commodity to market, naturally suits itself in this manner to the
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effectual demand. It naturally aims at bringing always that precise
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quantity thither which may be sufficient to supply, and no more than
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supply, that demand.
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But, in some employments, the same quantity of industry will, in different
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years, produce very different quantities of commodities; while, in others,
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it will produce always the same, or very nearly the same. The same number
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of labourers in husbandry will, in different years, produce very different
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quantities of corn, wine, oil, hops, etc. But the same number of spinners
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or weavers will every year produce the same, or very nearly the same,
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quantity of linen and woollen cloth. It is only the average produce of the
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one species of industry which can be suited, in any respect, to the
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effectual demand; and as its actual produce is frequently much greater,
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and frequently much less, than its average produce, the quantity of the
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commodities brought to market will sometimes exceed a good deal, and
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sometimes fall short a good deal, of the effectual demand. Even though
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that demand, therefore, should continue always the same, their market
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price will be liable to great fluctuations, will sometimes fall a good
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deal below, and sometimes rise a good deal above, their natural price. In
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the other species of industry, the produce of equal quantities of labour
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being always the same, or very nearly the same, it can be more exactly
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suited to the effectual demand. While that demand continues the same,
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therefore, the market price of the commodities is likely to do so too, and
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to be either altogether, or as nearly as can be judged of, the same with
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the natural price. That the price of linen and woollen cloth is liable
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neither to such frequent, nor to such great variations, as the price of
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corn, every man’s experience will inform him. The price of the one species
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of commodities varies only with the variations in the demand; that of the
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other varies not only with the variations in the demand, but with the much
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greater, and more frequent, variations in the quantity of what is brought
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to market, in order to supply that demand.
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The occasional and temporary fluctuations in the market price of any
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commodity fall chiefly upon those parts of its price which resolve
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themselves into wages and profit. That part which resolves itself into
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rent is less affected by them. A rent certain in money is not in the least
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affected by them, either in its rate or in its value. A rent which
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consists either in a certain proportion, or in a certain quantity, of the
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rude produce, is no doubt affected in its yearly value by all the
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occasional and temporary fluctuations in the market price of that rude
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produce; but it is seldom affected by them in its yearly rate. In settling
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the terms of the lease, the landlord and farmer endeavour, according to
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their best judgment, to adjust that rate, not to the temporary and
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occasional, but to the average and ordinary price of the produce.
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Such fluctuations affect both the value and the rate, either of wages or
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of profit, according as the market happens to be either overstocked or
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understocked with commodities or with labour, with work done, or with work
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to be done. A public mourning raises the price of black cloth (with which
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the market is almost always understocked upon such occasions), and
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augments the profits of the merchants who possess any considerable
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quantity of it. It has no effect upon the wages of the weavers. The market
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is understocked with commodities, not with labour, with work done, not
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with work to be done. It raises the wages of journeymen tailors. The
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market is here understocked with labour. There is an effectual demand for
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more labour, for more work to be done, than can be had. It sinks the price
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of coloured silks and cloths, and thereby reduces the profits of the
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merchants who have any considerable quantity of them upon hand. It sinks,
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too, the wages of the workmen employed in preparing such commodities, for
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which all demand is stopped for six months, perhaps for a twelvemonth. The
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market is here overstocked both with commodities and with labour.
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But though the market price of every particular commodity is in this
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manner continually gravitating, if one may say so, towards the natural
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price; yet sometimes particular accidents, sometimes natural causes, and
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sometimes particular regulations of policy, may, in many commodities, keep
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up the market price, for a long time together, a good deal above the
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natural price.
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When, by an increase in the effectual demand, the market price of some
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particular commodity happens to rise a good deal above the natural price,
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those who employ their stocks in supplying that market, are generally
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careful to conceal this change. If it was commonly known, their great
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profit would tempt so many new rivals to employ their stocks in the same
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way, that, the effectual demand being fully supplied, the market price
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would soon be reduced to the natural price, and, perhaps, for some time
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even below it. If the market is at a great distance from the residence of
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those who supply it, they may sometimes be able to keep the secret for
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several years together, and may so long enjoy their extraordinary profits
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without any new rivals. Secrets of this kind, however, it must be
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acknowledged, can seldom be long kept; and the extraordinary profit can
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last very little longer than they are kept.
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Secrets in manufactures are capable of being longer kept than secrets in
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trade. A dyer who has found the means of producing a particular colour
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with materials which cost only half the price of those commonly made use
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of, may, with good management, enjoy the advantage of his discovery as
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long as he lives, and even leave it as a legacy to his posterity. His
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extraordinary gains arise from the high price which is paid for his
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private labour. They properly consist in the high wages of that labour.
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But as they are repeated upon every part of his stock, and as their whole
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amount bears, upon that account, a regular proportion to it, they are
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commonly considered as extraordinary profits of stock.
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Such enhancements of the market price are evidently the effects of
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particular accidents, of which, however, the operation may sometimes last
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for many years together.
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Some natural productions require such a singularity of soil and situation,
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that all the land in a great country, which is fit for producing them, may
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not be sufficient to supply the effectual demand. The whole quantity
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brought to market, therefore, may be disposed of to those who are willing
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to give more than what is sufficient to pay the rent of the land which
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produced them, together with the wages of the labour and the profits of
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the stock which were employed in preparing and bringing them to market,
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according to their natural rates. Such commodities may continue for whole
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centuries together to be sold at this high price; and that part of it
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which resolves itself into the rent of land, is in this case the part
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which is generally paid above its natural rate. The rent of the land which
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affords such singular and esteemed productions, like the rent of some
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vineyards in France of a peculiarly happy soil and situation, bears no
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regular proportion to the rent of other equally fertile and equally well
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cultivated land in its neighbourhood. The wages of the labour, and the
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profits of the stock employed in bringing such commodities to market, on
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the contrary, are seldom out of their natural proportion to those of the
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other employments of labour and stock in their neighbourhood.
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Such enhancements of the market price are evidently the effect of natural
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causes, which may hinder the effectual demand from ever being fully
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supplied, and which may continue, therefore, to operate for ever.
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A monopoly granted either to an individual or to a trading company, has
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the same effect as a secret in trade or manufactures. The monopolists, by
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keeping the market constantly understocked by never fully supplying the
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effectual demand, sell their commodities much above the natural price, and
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raise their emoluments, whether they consist in wages or profit, greatly
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above their natural rate.
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The price of monopoly is upon every occasion the highest which can be got.
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The natural price, or the price of free competition, on the contrary, is
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the lowest which can be taken, not upon every occasion indeed, but for any
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considerable time together. The one is upon every occasion the highest
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which can be squeezed out of the buyers, or which it is supposed they will
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consent to give; the other is the lowest which the sellers can commonly
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afford to take, and at the same time continue their business.
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The exclusive privileges of corporations, statutes of apprenticeship, and
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all those laws which restrain in particular employments, the competition
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to a smaller number than might otherwise go into them, have the same
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tendency, though in a less degree. They are a sort of enlarged monopolies,
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and may frequently, for ages together, and in whole classes of
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employments, keep up the market price of particular commodities above the
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natural price, and maintain both the wages of the labour and the profits
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of the stock employed about them somewhat above their natural rate.
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Such enhancements of the market price may last as long as the regulations
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of policy which give occasion to them.
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The market price of any particular commodity, though it may continue long
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above, can seldom continue long below, its natural price. Whatever part of
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it was paid below the natural rate, the persons whose interest it affected
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would immediately feel the loss, and would immediately withdraw either so
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much land or so much labour, or so much stock, from being employed about
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it, that the quantity brought to market would soon be no more than
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sufficient to supply the effectual demand. Its market price, therefore,
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would soon rise to the natural price; this at least would be the case
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where there was perfect liberty.
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The same statutes of apprenticeship and other corporation laws, indeed,
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which, when a manufacture is in prosperity, enable the workman to raise
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his wages a good deal above their natural rate, sometimes oblige him, when
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it decays, to let them down a good deal below it. As in the one case they
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exclude many people from his employment, so in the other they exclude him
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from many employments. The effect of such regulations, however, is not
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near so durable in sinking the workman’s wages below, as in raising them
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above their natural rate. Their operation in the one way may endure for
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many centuries, but in the other it can last no longer than the lives of
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some of the workmen who were bred to the business in the time of its
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prosperity. When they are gone, the number of those who are afterwards
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educated to the trade will naturally suit itself to the effectual demand.
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The policy must be as violent as that of Indostan or ancient Egypt (where
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every man was bound by a principle of religion to follow the occupation of
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his father, and was supposed to commit the most horrid sacrilege if he
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changed it for another), which can in any particular employment, and for
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several generations together, sink either the wages of labour or the
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profits of stock below their natural rate.
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This is all that I think necessary to be observed at present concerning
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||||
the deviations, whether occasional or permanent, of the market price of
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commodities from the natural price.
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||||
The natural price itself varies with the natural rate of each of its
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||||
component parts, of wages, profit, and rent; and in every society this
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||||
rate varies according to their circumstances, according to their riches or
|
||||
poverty, their advancing, stationary, or declining condition. I shall, in
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||||
the four following chapters, endeavour to explain, as fully and distinctly
|
||||
as I can, the causes of those different variations.
|
||||
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||||
First, I shall endeavour to explain what are the circumstances which
|
||||
naturally determine the rate of wages, and in what manner those
|
||||
circumstances are affected by the riches or poverty, by the advancing,
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||||
stationary, or declining state of the society.
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||||
|
||||
Secondly, I shall endeavour to shew what are the circumstances which
|
||||
naturally determine the rate of profit; and in what manner, too, those
|
||||
circumstances are affected by the like variations in the state of the
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||||
society.
|
||||
|
||||
Though pecuniary wages and profit are very different in the different
|
||||
employments of labour and stock; yet a certain proportion seems commonly
|
||||
to take place between both the pecuniary wages in all the different
|
||||
employments of labour, and the pecuniary profits in all the different
|
||||
employments of stock. This proportion, it will appear hereafter, depends
|
||||
partly upon the nature of the different employments, and partly upon the
|
||||
different laws and policy of the society in which they are carried on. But
|
||||
though in many respects dependent upon the laws and policy, this
|
||||
proportion seems to be little affected by the riches or poverty of that
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||||
society, by its advancing, stationary, or declining condition, but to
|
||||
remain the same, or very nearly the same, in all those different states. I
|
||||
shall, in the third place, endeavour to explain all the different
|
||||
circumstances which regulate this proportion.
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In the fourth and last place, I shall endeavour to shew what are the
|
||||
circumstances which regulate the rent of land, and which either raise or
|
||||
lower the real price of all the different substances which it produces.
|
||||
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