feat(llm): add LLM integration module with OpenRouter and Claude Code adapters
Implements markitect/llm/ package with concrete LLMAdapter implementations:
- OpenRouterAdapter: HTTP via urllib with retry/backoff on 429/5xx
- ClaudeCodeAdapter: subprocess-based Claude CLI with stdin piping
- Factory pattern: create_adapter("openrouter") or create_adapter("claude-code")
- API key resolution chain: constructor > env var > project-root key file
- 42 unit tests, 2 integration tests (gated on API key / CLI availability)
Also adds the infospace-with-history example with Wealth of Nations VSM
analysis pipeline, templates, schemas, source chapters, and processed
output for chapters 1-2. process_chapters.py now supports --provider
and --model flags for automatic LLM-driven processing.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This commit is contained in:
@@ -0,0 +1,841 @@
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---
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id: book-4-chapter-01
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title: "OF THE PRINCIPLE OF THE COMMERCIAL OR MERCANTILE SYSTEM."
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book: "4"
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chapter: 1
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artifact_type: content
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---
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CHAPTER I.
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OF THE PRINCIPLE OF THE COMMERCIAL OR
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MERCANTILE SYSTEM.
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That wealth consists in money, or in gold and silver, is a popular notion
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which naturally arises from the double function of money, as the
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instrument of commerce, and as the measure of value. In consequence of its
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being the instrument of commerce, when we have money we can more readily
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obtain whatever else we have occasion for, than by means of any other
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commodity. The great affair, we always find, is to get money. When that is
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obtained, there is no difficulty in making any subsequent purchase. In
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consequence of its being the measure of value, we estimate that of all
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other commodities by the quantity of money which they will exchange for.
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We say of a rich man, that he is worth a great deal, and of a poor man,
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that he is worth very little money. A frugal man, or a man eager to be
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rich, is said to love money; and a careless, a generous, or a profuse man,
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is said to be indifferent about it. To grow rich is to get money; and
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wealth and money, in short, are, in common language, considered as in
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every respect synonymous.
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A rich country, in the same manner as a rich man, is supposed to be a
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country abounding in money; and to heap up gold and silver in any country
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is supposed to be the readiest way to enrich it. For some time after the
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discovery of America, the first inquiry of the Spaniards, when they
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arrived upon any unknown coast, used to be, if there was any gold or
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silver to be found in the neighbourhood? By the information which they
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received, they judged whether it was worth while to make a settlement
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there, or if the country was worth the conquering. Plano Carpino, a monk
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sent ambassador from the king of France to one of the sons of the famous
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Gengis Khan, says, that the Tartars used frequently to ask him, if there
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was plenty of sheep and oxen in the kingdom of France? Their inquiry had
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the same object with that of the Spaniards. They wanted to know if the
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country was rich enough to be worth the conquering. Among the Tartars, as
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among all other nations of shepherds, who are generally ignorant of the
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use of money, cattle are the instruments of commerce and the measures of
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value. Wealth, therefore, according to them, consisted in cattle, as,
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according to the Spaniards, it consisted in gold and silver. Of the two,
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the Tartar notion, perhaps, was the nearest to the truth.
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Mr Locke remarks a distinction between money and other moveable goods. All
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other moveable goods, he says, are of so consumable a nature, that the
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wealth which consists in them cannot be much depended on; and a nation
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which abounds in them one year may, without any exportation, but merely by
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their own waste and extravagance, be in great want of them the next.
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Money, on the contrary, is a steady friend, which, though it may travel
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about from hand to hand, yet if it can be kept from going out of the
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country, is not very liable to be wasted and consumed. Gold and silver,
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therefore, are, according to him, the must solid and substantial part of
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the moveable wealth of a nation; and to multiply those metals ought, he
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thinks, upon that account, to be the great object of its political
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economy.
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Others admit, that if a nation could be separated from all the world, it
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would be of no consequence how much or how little money circulated in it.
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The consumable goods, which were circulated by means of this money, would
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only be exchanged for a greater or a smaller number of pieces; but the
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real wealth or poverty of the country, they allow, would depend altogether
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upon the abundance or scarcity of those consumable goods. But it is
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otherwise, they think, with countries which have connections with foreign
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nations, and which are obliged to carry on foreign wars, and to maintain
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fleets and armies in distant countries. This, they say, cannot be done,
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but by sending abroad money to pay them with; and a nation cannot send
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much money abroad, unless it has a good deal at home. Every such nation,
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therefore, must endeavour, in time of peace, to accumulate gold and
|
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silver, that when occasion requires, it may have wherewithal to carry on
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foreign wars.
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In consequence of those popular notions, all the different nations of
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Europe have studied, though to little purpose, every possible means of
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accumulating gold and silver in their respective countries. Spain and
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Portugal, the proprietors of the principal mines which supply Europe with
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those metals, have either prohibited their exportation under the severest
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penalties, or subjected it to a considerable duty. The like prohibition
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seems anciently to have made a part of the policy of most other European
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nations. It is even to be found, where we should least of all expect to
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find it, in some old Scotch acts of Parliament, which forbid, under heavy
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penalties, the carrying gold or silver forth of the kingdom. The like
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policy anciently took place both in France and England.
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|
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When those countries became commercial, the merchants found this
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prohibition, upon many occasions, extremely inconvenient. They could
|
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frequently buy more advantageously with gold and silver, than with any
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other commodity, the foreign goods which they wanted, either to import
|
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into their own, or to carry to some other foreign country. They
|
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remonstrated, therefore, against this prohibition as hurtful to trade.
|
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|
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They represented, first, that the exportation of gold and silver, in order
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to purchase foreign goods, did not always diminish the quantity of those
|
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metals in the kingdom; that, on the contrary, it might frequently increase
|
||||
the quantity; because, if the consumption of foreign goods was not thereby
|
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increased in the country, those goods might be re-exported to foreign
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countries, and being there sold for a large profit, might bring back much
|
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more treasure than was originally sent out to purchase them. Mr Mun
|
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compares this operation of foreign trade to the seed-time and harvest of
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agriculture. “If we only behold,” says he, “the actions of the husbandman
|
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in the seed time, when he casteth away much good corn into the ground, we
|
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shall account him rather a madman than a husbandman. But when we consider
|
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his labours in the harvest, which is the end of his endeavours, we shall
|
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find the worth and plentiful increase of his actions.”
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|
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They represented, secondly, that this prohibition could not hinder the
|
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exportation of gold and silver, which, on account of the smallness of
|
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their bulk in proportion to their value, could easily be smuggled abroad.
|
||||
That this exportation could only be prevented by a proper attention to
|
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what they called the balance of trade. That when the country exported to a
|
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greater value than it imported, a balance became due to it from foreign
|
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nations, which was necessarily paid to it in gold and silver, and thereby
|
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increased the quantity of those metals in the kingdom. But that when it
|
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imported to a greater value than it exported, a contrary balance became
|
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due to foreign nations, which was necessarily paid to them in the same
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manner, and thereby diminished that quantity: that in this case, to
|
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prohibit the exportation of those metals, could not prevent it, but only,
|
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by making it more dangerous, render it more expensive: that the exchange
|
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was thereby turned more against the country which owed the balance, than
|
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it otherwise might have been; the merchant who purchased a bill upon the
|
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foreign country being obliged to pay the banker who sold it, not only for
|
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the natural risk, trouble, and expense of sending the money thither, but
|
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for the extraordinary risk arising from the prohibition; but that the more
|
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the exchange was against any country, the more the balance of trade became
|
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necessarily against it; the money of that country becoming necessarily of
|
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so much less value, in comparison with that of the country to which the
|
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balance was due. That if the exchange between England and Holland, for
|
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example, was five per cent. against England, it would require 105 ounces
|
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of silver in England to purchase a bill for 100 ounces of silver in
|
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Holland: that 105 ounces of silver in England, therefore, would be worth
|
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only 100 ounces of silver in Holland, and would purchase only a
|
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proportionable quantity of Dutch goods; but that 100 ounces of silver in
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Holland, on the contrary, would be worth 105 ounces in England, and would
|
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purchase a proportionable quantity of English goods; that the English
|
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goods which were sold to Holland would be sold so much cheaper, and the
|
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Dutch goods which were sold to England so much dearer, by the difference
|
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of the exchange: that the one would draw so much less Dutch money to
|
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England, and the other so much more English money to Holland, as this
|
||||
difference amounted to: and that the balance of trade, therefore, would
|
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necessarily be so much more against England, and would require a greater
|
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balance of gold and silver to be exported to Holland.
|
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|
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Those arguments were partly solid and partly sophistical. They were solid,
|
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so far as they asserted that the exportation of gold and silver in trade
|
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might frequently be advantageous to the country. They were solid, too, in
|
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asserting that no prohibition could prevent their exportation, when
|
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private people found any advantage in exporting them. But they were
|
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sophistical, in supposing, that either to preserve or to augment the
|
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quantity of those metals required more the attention of government, than
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to preserve or to augment the quantity of any other useful commodities,
|
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which the freedom of trade, without any such attention, never fails to
|
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supply in the proper quantity. They were sophistical, too, perhaps, in
|
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asserting that the high price of exchange necessarily increased what they
|
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called the unfavourable balance of trade, or occasioned the exportation of
|
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a greater quantity of gold and silver. That high price, indeed, was
|
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extremely disadvantageous to the merchants who had any money to pay in
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foreign countries. They paid so much dearer for the bills which their
|
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bankers granted them upon those countries. But though the risk arising
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from the prohibition might occasion some extraordinary expense to the
|
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bankers, it would not necessarily carry any more money out of the country.
|
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This expense would generally be all laid out in the country, in smuggling
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the money out of it, and could seldom occasion the exportation of a single
|
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sixpence beyond the precise sum drawn for. The high price of exchange,
|
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too, would naturally dispose the merchants to endeavour to make their
|
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exports nearly balance their imports, in order that they might have this
|
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high exchange to pay upon as small a sum as possible. The high price of
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exchange, besides, must necessarily have operated as a tax, in raising the
|
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price of foreign goods, and thereby diminishing their consumption. It
|
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would tend, therefore, not to increase, but to diminish, what they called
|
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the unfavourable balance of trade, and consequently the exportation of
|
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gold and silver.
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|
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Such as they were, however, those arguments convinced the people to whom
|
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they were addressed. They were addressed by merchants to parliaments and
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to the councils of princes, to nobles, and to country gentlemen; by those
|
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who were supposed to understand trade, to those who were conscious to them
|
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selves that they knew nothing about the matter. That foreign trade
|
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enriched the country, experience demonstrated to the nobles and country
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gentlemen, as well as to the merchants; but how, or in what manner, none
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of them well knew. The merchants knew perfectly in what manner it enriched
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themselves, it was their business to know it. But to know in what manner
|
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it enriched the country, was no part of their business. The subject never
|
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came into their consideration, but when they had occasion to apply to
|
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their country for some change in the laws relating to foreign trade. It
|
||||
then became necessary to say something about the beneficial effects of
|
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foreign trade, and the manner in which those effects were obstructed by
|
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the laws as they then stood. To the judges who were to decide the
|
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business, it appeared a most satisfactory account of the matter, when they
|
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were told that foreign trade brought money into the country, but that the
|
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laws in question hindered it from bringing so much as it otherwise would
|
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do. Those arguments, therefore, produced the wished-for effect. The
|
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prohibition of exporting gold and silver was, in France and England,
|
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confined to the coin of those respective countries. The exportation of
|
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foreign coin and of bullion was made free. In Holland, and in some other
|
||||
places, this liberty was extended even to the coin of the country. The
|
||||
attention of government was turned away from guarding against the
|
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exportation of gold and silver, to watch over the balance of trade, as the
|
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only cause which could occasion any augmentation or diminution of those
|
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metals. From one fruitless care, it was turned away to another care much
|
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more intricate, much more embarrassing, and just equally fruitless. The
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title of Mun’s book, England’s Treasure in Foreign Trade, became a
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fundamental maxim in the political economy, not of England only, but of
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all other commercial countries. The inland or home trade, the most
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important of all, the trade in which an equal capital affords the greatest
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revenue, and creates the greatest employment to the people of the country,
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was considered as subsidiary only to foreign trade. It neither brought
|
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money into the country, it was said, nor carried any out of it. The
|
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country, therefore, could never become either richer or poorer by means of
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it, except so far as its prosperity or decay might indirectly influence
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the state of foreign trade.
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|
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A country that has no mines of its own, must undoubtedly draw its gold and
|
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silver from foreign countries, in the same manner as one that has no
|
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vineyards of its own must draw its wines. It does not seem necessary,
|
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however, that the attention of government should be more turned towards
|
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the one than towards the other object. A country that has wherewithal to
|
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buy wine, will always get the wine which it has occasion for; and a
|
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country that has wherewithal to buy gold and silver, will never be in want
|
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of those metals. They are to be bought for a certain price, like all other
|
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commodities; and as they are the price of all other commodities, so all
|
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other commodities are the price of those metals. We trust, with perfect
|
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security, that the freedom of trade, without any attention of government,
|
||||
will always supply us with the wine which we have occasion for; and we may
|
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trust, with equal security, that it will always supply us with all the
|
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gold and silver which we can afford to purchase or to employ, either in
|
||||
circulating our commodities or in other uses.
|
||||
|
||||
The quantity of every commodity which human industry can either purchase
|
||||
or produce, naturally regulates itself in every country according to the
|
||||
effectual demand, or according to the demand of those who are willing to
|
||||
pay the whole rent, labour, and profits, which must be paid in order to
|
||||
prepare and bring it to market. But no commodities regulate themselves
|
||||
more easily or more exactly, according to this effectual demand, than gold
|
||||
and silver; because, on account of the small bulk and great value of those
|
||||
metals, no commodities can be more easily transported from one place to
|
||||
another; from the places where they are cheap, to those where they are
|
||||
dear; from the places where they exceed, to those where they fall short of
|
||||
this effectual demand. If there were in England, for example, an effectual
|
||||
demand for an additional quantity of gold, a packet-boat could bring from
|
||||
Lisbon, or from wherever else it was to be had, fifty tons of gold, which
|
||||
could be coined into more than five millions of guineas. But if there were
|
||||
an effectual demand for grain to the same value, to import it would
|
||||
require, at five guineas a-ton, a million of tons of shipping, or a
|
||||
thousand ships of a thousand tons each. The navy of England would not be
|
||||
sufficient.
|
||||
|
||||
When the quantity of gold and silver imported into any country exceeds the
|
||||
effectual demand, no vigilance of government can prevent their
|
||||
exportation. All the sanguinary laws of Spain and Portugal are not able to
|
||||
keep their gold and silver at home. The continual importations from Peru
|
||||
and Brazil exceed the effectual demand of those countries, and sink the
|
||||
price of those metals there below that in the neighbouring countries. If,
|
||||
on the contrary, in any particular country, their quantity fell short of
|
||||
the effectual demand, so as to raise their price above that of the
|
||||
neighbouring countries, the government would have no occasion to take any
|
||||
pains to import them. If it were even to take pains to prevent their
|
||||
importation, it would not be able to effectuate it. Those metals, when the
|
||||
Spartans had got wherewithal to purchase them, broke through all the
|
||||
barriers which the laws of Lycurgus opposed to their entrance into
|
||||
Lacedaemon. All the sanguinary laws of the customs are not able to prevent
|
||||
the importation of the teas of the Dutch and Gottenburg East India
|
||||
companies; because somewhat cheaper than those of the British company. A
|
||||
pound of tea, however, is about a hundred times the bulk of one of the
|
||||
highest prices, sixteen shillings, that is commonly paid for it in silver,
|
||||
and more than two thousand times the bulk of the same price in gold, and,
|
||||
consequently, just so many times more difficult to smuggle.
|
||||
|
||||
It is partly owing to the easy transportation of gold and silver, from the
|
||||
places where they abound to those where they are wanted, that the price of
|
||||
those metals does not fluctuate continually, like that of the greater part
|
||||
of other commodities, which are hindered by their bulk from shifting their
|
||||
situation, when the market happens to be either over or under-stocked with
|
||||
them. The price of those metals, indeed, is not altogether exempted from
|
||||
variation; but the changes to which it is liable are generally slow,
|
||||
gradual, and uniform. In Europe, for example, it is supposed, without much
|
||||
foundation, perhaps, that during the course of the present and preceding
|
||||
century, they have been constantly, but gradually, sinking in their value,
|
||||
on account of the continual importations from the Spanish West Indies. But
|
||||
to make any sudden change in the price of gold and silver, so as to raise
|
||||
or lower at once, sensibly and remarkably, the money price of all other
|
||||
commodities, requires such a revolution in commerce as that occasioned by
|
||||
the discovery of America.
|
||||
|
||||
If, not withstanding all this, gold and silver should at any time fall
|
||||
short in a country which has wherewithal to purchase them, there are more
|
||||
expedients for supplying their place, than that of almost any other
|
||||
commodity. If the materials of manufacture are wanted, industry must stop.
|
||||
If provisions are wanted, the people must starve. But if money is wanted,
|
||||
barter will supply its place, though with a good deal of inconveniency.
|
||||
Buying and selling upon credit, and the different dealers compensating
|
||||
their credits with one another, once a-month, or once a-year, will supply
|
||||
it with less inconveniency. A well-regulated paper-money will supply it
|
||||
not only without any inconveniency, but, in some cases, with some
|
||||
advantages. Upon every account, therefore, the attention of government
|
||||
never was so unnecessarily employed, as when directed to watch over the
|
||||
preservation or increase of the quantity of money in any country.
|
||||
|
||||
No complaint, however, is more common than that of a scarcity of money.
|
||||
Money, like wine, must always be scarce with those who have neither
|
||||
wherewithal to buy it, nor credit to borrow it. Those who have either,
|
||||
will seldom be in want either of the money, or of the wine which they have
|
||||
occasion for. This complaint, however, of the scarcity of money, is not
|
||||
always confined to improvident spendthrifts. It is sometimes general
|
||||
through a whole mercantile town and the country in its neighbourhood.
|
||||
Over-trading is the common cause of it. Sober men, whose projects have
|
||||
been disproportioned to their capitals, are as likely to have neither
|
||||
wherewithal to buy money, nor credit to borrow it, as prodigals, whose
|
||||
expense has been disproportioned to their revenue. Before their projects
|
||||
can be brought to bear, their stock is gone, and their credit with it.
|
||||
They run about everywhere to borrow money, and everybody tells them that
|
||||
they have none to lend. Even such general complaints of the scarcity of
|
||||
money do not always prove that the usual number of gold and silver pieces
|
||||
are not circulating in the country, but that many people want those pieces
|
||||
who have nothing to give for them. When the profits of trade happen to be
|
||||
greater than ordinary over-trading becomes a general error, both among
|
||||
great and small dealers. They do not always send more money abroad than
|
||||
usual, but they buy upon credit, both at home and abroad, an unusual
|
||||
quantity of goods, which they send to some distant market, in hopes that
|
||||
the returns will come in before the demand for payment. The demand comes
|
||||
before the returns, and they have nothing at hand with which they can
|
||||
either purchase money or give solid security for borrowing. It is not any
|
||||
scarcity of gold and silver, but the difficulty which such people find in
|
||||
borrowing, and which their creditor find in getting payment, that
|
||||
occasions the general complaint of the scarcity of money.
|
||||
|
||||
It would be too ridiculous to go about seriously to prove, that wealth
|
||||
does not consist in money, or in gold and silver; but in what money
|
||||
purchases, and is valuable only for purchasing. Money, no doubt, makes
|
||||
always a part of the national capital; but it has already been shown that
|
||||
it generally makes but a small part, and always the most unprofitable part
|
||||
of it.
|
||||
|
||||
It is not because wealth consists more essentially in money than in goods,
|
||||
that the merchant finds it generally more easy to buy goods with money,
|
||||
than to buy money with goods; but because money is the known and
|
||||
established instrument of commerce, for which every thing is readily given
|
||||
in exchange, but which is not always with equal readiness to be got in
|
||||
exchange for every thing. The greater part of goods, besides, are more
|
||||
perishable than money, and he may frequently sustain a much greater loss
|
||||
by keeping them. When his goods are upon hand, too, he is more liable to
|
||||
such demands for money as he may not be able to answer, than when he has
|
||||
got their price in his coffers. Over and above all this, his profit arises
|
||||
more directly from selling than from buying; and he is, upon all these
|
||||
accounts, generally much more anxious to exchange his goods for money than
|
||||
his money for goods. But though a particular merchant, with abundance of
|
||||
goods in his warehouse, may sometimes be ruined by not being able to sell
|
||||
them in time, a nation or country is not liable to the same accident, The
|
||||
whole capital of a merchant frequently consists in perishable goods
|
||||
destined for purchasing money. But it is but a very small part of the
|
||||
annual produce of the land and labour of a country, which can ever be
|
||||
destined for purchasing gold and silver from their neighbours. The far
|
||||
greater part is circulated and consumed among themselves; and even of the
|
||||
surplus which is sent abroad, the greater part is generally destined for
|
||||
the purchase of other foreign goods. Though gold and silver, therefore,
|
||||
could not be had in exchange for the goods destined to purchase them, the
|
||||
nation would not be ruined. It might, indeed, suffer some loss and
|
||||
inconveniency, and be forced upon some of those expedients which are
|
||||
necessary for supplying the place of money. The annual produce of its land
|
||||
and labour, however, would be the same, or very nearly the same as usual;
|
||||
because the same, or very nearly the same consumable capital would be
|
||||
employed in maintaining it. And though goods do not always draw money so
|
||||
readily as money draws goods, in the long-run they draw it more
|
||||
necessarily than even it draws them. Goods can serve many other purposes
|
||||
besides purchasing money, but money can serve no other purpose besides
|
||||
purchasing goods. Money, therefore, necessarily runs after goods, but
|
||||
goods do not always or necessarily run after money. The man who buys, does
|
||||
not always mean to sell again, but frequently to use or to consume;
|
||||
whereas he who sells always means to buy again. The one may frequently
|
||||
have done the whole, but the other can never have done more than the one
|
||||
half of his business. It is not for its own sake that men desire money,
|
||||
but for the sake of what they can purchase with it.
|
||||
|
||||
Consumable commodities, it is said, are soon destroyed; whereas gold and
|
||||
silver are of a more durable nature, and were it not for this continual
|
||||
exportation, might be accumulated for ages together, to the incredible
|
||||
augmentation of the real wealth of the country. Nothing, therefore, it is
|
||||
pretended, can be more disadvantageous to any country, than the trade
|
||||
which consists in the exchange of such lasting for such perishable
|
||||
commodities. We do not, however, reckon that trade disadvantageous, which
|
||||
consists in the exchange of the hardware of England for the wines of
|
||||
France, and yet hardware is a very durable commodity, and were it not for
|
||||
this continual exportation, might too be accumulated for ages together, to
|
||||
the incredible augmentation of the pots and pans of the country. But it
|
||||
readily occurs, that the number of such utensils is in every country
|
||||
necessarily limited by the use which there is for them; that it would be
|
||||
absurd to have more pots and pans than were necessary for cooking the
|
||||
victuals usually consumed there; and that, if the quantity of victuals
|
||||
were to increase, the number of pots and pans would readily increase along
|
||||
with it; a part of the increased quantity of victuals being employed in
|
||||
purchasing them, or in maintaining an additional number of workmen whose
|
||||
business it was to make them. It should as readily occur, that the
|
||||
quantity of gold and silver is, in every country, limited by the use which
|
||||
there is for those metals; that their use consists in circulating
|
||||
commodities, as coin, and in affording a species of household furniture,
|
||||
as plate; that the quantity of coin in every country is regulated by the
|
||||
value of the commodities which are to be circulated by it; increase that
|
||||
value, and immediately a part of it will be sent abroad to purchase,
|
||||
wherever it is to be had, the additional quantity of coin requisite for
|
||||
circulating them: that the quantity of plate is regulated by the number
|
||||
and wealth of those private families who choose to indulge themselves in
|
||||
that sort of magnificence; increase the number and wealth of such
|
||||
families, and a part of this increased wealth will most probably be
|
||||
employed in purchasing, wherever it is to be found, an additional quantity
|
||||
of plate; that to attempt to increase the wealth of any country, either by
|
||||
introducing or by detaining in it an unnecessary quantity of gold and
|
||||
silver, is as absurd as it would be to attempt to increase the good cheer
|
||||
of private families, by obliging them to keep an unnecessary number of
|
||||
kitchen utensils. As the expense of purchasing those unnecessary utensils
|
||||
would diminish, instead of increasing, either the quantity or goodness of
|
||||
the family provisions; so the expense of purchasing an unnecessary
|
||||
quantity of gold and silver must, in every country, as necessarily
|
||||
diminish the wealth which feeds, clothes, and lodges, which maintains and
|
||||
employs the people. Gold and silver, whether in the shape of coin or of
|
||||
plate, are utensils, it must be remembered, as much as the furniture of
|
||||
the kitchen. Increase the use of them, increase the consumable commodities
|
||||
which are to be circulated, managed, and prepared by means of them, and
|
||||
you will infallibly increase the quantity; but if you attempt by
|
||||
extraordinary means to increase the quantity, you will as infallibly
|
||||
diminish the use, and even the quantity too, which in those metals can
|
||||
never be greater than what the use requires. Were they ever to be
|
||||
accumulated beyond this quantity, their transportation is so easy, and the
|
||||
loss which attends their lying idle and unemployed so great, that no law
|
||||
could prevent their being immediately sent out of the country.
|
||||
|
||||
It is not always necessary to accumulate gold and silver, in order to
|
||||
enable a country to carry on foreign wars, and to maintain fleets and
|
||||
armies in distant countries. Fleets and armies are maintained, not with
|
||||
gold and silver, but with consumable goods. The nation which, from the
|
||||
annual produce of its domestic industry, from the annual revenue arising
|
||||
out of its lands, and labour, and consumable stock, has wherewithal to
|
||||
purchase those consumable goods in distant countries, can maintain foreign
|
||||
wars there.
|
||||
|
||||
A nation may purchase the pay and provisions of an army in a distant
|
||||
country three different ways; by sending abroad either, first, some part
|
||||
of its accumulated gold and silver; or, secondly, some part of the annual
|
||||
produce of its manufactures; or, last of all, some part of its annual rude
|
||||
produce.
|
||||
|
||||
The gold and silver which can properly be considered as accumulated, or
|
||||
stored up in any country, may be distinguished into three parts; first,
|
||||
the circulating money; secondly, the plate of private families; and, last
|
||||
of all, the money which may have been collected by many years parsimony,
|
||||
and laid up in the treasury of the prince.
|
||||
|
||||
It can seldom happen that much can be spared from the circulating money of
|
||||
the country; because in that there can seldom be much redundancy. The
|
||||
value of goods annually bought and sold in any country requires a certain
|
||||
quantity of money to circulate and distribute them to their proper
|
||||
consumers, and can give employment to no more. The channel of circulation
|
||||
necessarily draws to itself a sum sufficient to fill it, and never admits
|
||||
any more. Something, however, is generally withdrawn from this channel in
|
||||
the case of foreign war. By the great number of people who are maintained
|
||||
abroad, fewer are maintained at home. Fewer goods are circulated there,
|
||||
and less money becomes necessary to circulate them. An extraordinary
|
||||
quantity of paper money of some sort or other, too, such as exchequer
|
||||
notes, navy bills, and bank bills, in England, is generally issued upon
|
||||
such occasions, and, by supplying the place of circulating gold and
|
||||
silver, gives an opportunity of sending a greater quantity of it abroad.
|
||||
All this, however, could afford but a poor resource for maintaining a
|
||||
foreign war, of great expense, and several years duration.
|
||||
|
||||
The melting down of the plate of private families has, upon every
|
||||
occasion, been found a still more insignificant one. The French, in the
|
||||
beginning of the last war, did not derive so much advantage from this
|
||||
expedient as to compensate the loss of the fashion.
|
||||
|
||||
The accumulated treasures of the prince have in former times afforded a
|
||||
much greater and more lasting resource. In the present times, if you
|
||||
except the king of Prussia, to accumulate treasure seems to be no part of
|
||||
the policy of European princes.
|
||||
|
||||
The funds which maintained the foreign wars of the present century, the
|
||||
most expensive perhaps which history records, seem to have had little
|
||||
dependency upon the exportation either of the circulating money, or of the
|
||||
plate of private families, or of the treasure of the prince. The last
|
||||
French war cost Great Britain upwards of £90,000,000, including not only
|
||||
the £75,000,000 of new debt that was contracted, but the additional 2s. in
|
||||
the pound land-tax, and what was annually borrowed of the sinking fund.
|
||||
More than two-thirds of this expense were laid out in distant countries;
|
||||
in Germany, Portugal, America, in the ports of the Mediterranean, in the
|
||||
East and West Indies. The kings of England had no accumulated treasure. We
|
||||
never heard of any extraordinary quantity of plate being melted down. The
|
||||
circulating gold and silver of the country had not been supposed to exceed
|
||||
£18,000,000. Since the late recoinage of the gold, however, it is believed
|
||||
to have been a good deal under-rated. Let us suppose, therefore, according
|
||||
to the most exaggerated computation which I remember to have either seen
|
||||
or heard of, that, gold and silver together, it amounted to £30,000,000.
|
||||
Had the war been carried on by means of our money, the whole of it must,
|
||||
even according to this computation, have been sent out and returned again,
|
||||
at least twice in a period of between six and seven years. Should this be
|
||||
supposed, it would afford the most decisive argument, to demonstrate how
|
||||
unnecessary it is for government to watch over the preservation of money,
|
||||
since, upon this supposition, the whole money of the country must have
|
||||
gone from it, and returned to it again, two different times in so short a
|
||||
period, without any body’s knowing any thing of the matter. The channel of
|
||||
circulation, however, never appeared more empty than usual during any part
|
||||
of this period. Few people wanted money who had wherewithal to pay for it.
|
||||
The profits of foreign trade, indeed, were greater than usual during the
|
||||
whole war, but especially towards the end of it. This occasioned, what it
|
||||
always occasions, a general over-trading in all the ports of Great
|
||||
Britain; and this again occasioned the usual complaint of the scarcity of
|
||||
money, which always follows over-trading. Many people wanted it, who had
|
||||
neither wherewithal to buy it, nor credit to borrow it; and because the
|
||||
debtors found it difficult to borrow, the creditors found it difficult to
|
||||
get payment. Gold and silver, however, were generally to be had for their
|
||||
value, by those who had that value to give for them.
|
||||
|
||||
The enormous expense of the late war, therefore, must have been chiefly
|
||||
defrayed, not by the exportation of gold and silver, but by that of
|
||||
British commodities of some kind or other. When the government, or those
|
||||
who acted under them, contracted with a merchant for a remittance to some
|
||||
foreign country, he would naturally endeavour to pay his foreign
|
||||
correspondent, upon whom he granted a bill, by sending abroad rather
|
||||
commodities than gold and silver. If the commodities of Great Britain were
|
||||
not in demand in that country, he would endeavour to send them to some
|
||||
other country in which he could purchase a bill upon that country. The
|
||||
transportation of commodities, when properly suited to the market, is
|
||||
always attended with a considerable profit; whereas that of gold and
|
||||
silver is scarce ever attended with any. When those metals are sent abroad
|
||||
in order to purchase foreign commodities, the merchant’s profit arises,
|
||||
not from the purchase, but from the sale of the returns. But when they are
|
||||
sent abroad merely to pay a debt, he gets no returns, and consequently no
|
||||
profit. He naturally, therefore, exerts his invention to find out a way of
|
||||
paying his foreign debts, rather by the exportation of commodities, than
|
||||
by that of gold and silver. The great quantity of British goods, exported
|
||||
during the course of the late war, without bringing back any returns, is
|
||||
accordingly remarked by the author of the Present State of the Nation.
|
||||
|
||||
Besides the three sorts of gold and silver above mentioned, there is in
|
||||
all great commercial countries a good deal of bullion alternately imported
|
||||
and exported, for the purposes of foreign trade. This bullion, as it
|
||||
circulates among different commercial countries, in the same manner as the
|
||||
national coin circulates in every country, may be considered as the money
|
||||
of the great mercantile republic. The national coin receives its movement
|
||||
and direction from the commodities circulated within the precincts of each
|
||||
particular country; the money in the mercantile republic, from those
|
||||
circulated between different countries. Both are employed in facilitating
|
||||
exchanges, the one between different individuals of the same, the other
|
||||
between those of different nations. Part of this money of the great
|
||||
mercantile republic may have been, and probably was, employed in carrying
|
||||
on the late war. In time of a general war, it is natural to suppose that a
|
||||
movement and direction should be impressed upon it, different from what it
|
||||
usually follows in profound peace, that it should circulate more about the
|
||||
seat of the war, and be more employed in purchasing there, and in the
|
||||
neighbouring countries, the pay and provisions of the different armies.
|
||||
But whatever part of this money of the mercantile republic Great Britain
|
||||
may have annually employed in this manner, it must have been annually
|
||||
purchased, either with British commodities, or with something else that
|
||||
had been purchased with them; which still brings us back to commodities,
|
||||
to the annual produce of the land and labour of the country, as the
|
||||
ultimate resources which enabled us to carry on the war. It is natural,
|
||||
indeed, to suppose, that so great an annual expense must have been
|
||||
defrayed from a great annual produce. The expense of 1761, for example,
|
||||
amounted to more than £19,000,000. No accumulation could have supported so
|
||||
great an annual profusion. There is no annual produce, even of gold and
|
||||
silver, which could have supported it. The whole gold and silver annually
|
||||
imported into both Spain and Portugal, according to the best accounts,
|
||||
does not commonly much exceed £6,000,000 sterling, which, in some years,
|
||||
would scarce have paid four months expense of the late war.
|
||||
|
||||
The commodities most proper for being transported to distant countries, in
|
||||
order to purchase there either the pay and provisions of an army, or some
|
||||
part of the money of the mercantile republic to be employed in purchasing
|
||||
them, seem to be the finer and more improved manufactures; such as contain
|
||||
a great value in a small bulk, and can therefore be exported to a great
|
||||
distance at little expense. A country whose industry produces a great
|
||||
annual surplus of such manufactures, which are usually exported to foreign
|
||||
countries, may carry on for many years a very expensive foreign war,
|
||||
without either exporting any considerable quantity of gold and silver, or
|
||||
even having any such quantity to export. A considerable part of the annual
|
||||
surplus of its manufactures must, indeed, in this case, be exported
|
||||
without bringing back any returns to the country, though it does to the
|
||||
merchant; the government purchasing of the merchant his bills upon foreign
|
||||
countries, in order to purchase there the pay and provisions of an army.
|
||||
Some part of this surplus, however, may still continue to bring back a
|
||||
return. The manufacturers during; the war will have a double demand upon
|
||||
them, and be called upon first to work up goods to be sent abroad, for
|
||||
paying the bills drawn upon foreign countries for the pay and provisions
|
||||
of the army: and, secondly, to work up such as are necessary for
|
||||
purchasing the common returns that had usually been consumed in the
|
||||
country. In the midst of the most destructive foreign war, therefore, the
|
||||
greater part of manufactures may frequently flourish greatly; and, on the
|
||||
contrary, they may decline on the return of peace. They may flourish
|
||||
amidst the ruin of their country, and begin to decay upon the return of
|
||||
its prosperity. The different state of many different branches of the
|
||||
British manufactures during the late war, and for some time after the
|
||||
peace, may serve as an illustration of what has been just now said.
|
||||
|
||||
No foreign war, of great expense or duration, could conveniently be
|
||||
carried on by the exportation of the rude produce of the soil. The expense
|
||||
of sending such a quantity of it into a foreign country as might purchase
|
||||
the pay and provisions of an army would be too great. Few countries, too,
|
||||
produce much more rude produce than what is sufficient for the subsistence
|
||||
of their own inhabitants. To send abroad any great quantity of it,
|
||||
therefore, would be to send abroad a part of the necessary subsistence of
|
||||
the people. It is otherwise with the exportation of manufactures. The
|
||||
maintenance of the people employed in them is kept at home, and only the
|
||||
surplus part of their work is exported. Mr Hume frequently takes notice of
|
||||
the inability of the ancient kings of England to carry on, without
|
||||
interruption, any foreign war of long duration. The English in those days
|
||||
had nothing wherewithal to purchase the pay and provisions of their armies
|
||||
in foreign countries, but either the rude produce of the soil, of which no
|
||||
considerable part could be spared from the home consumption, or a few
|
||||
manufactures of the coarsest kind, of which, as well as of the rude
|
||||
produce, the transportation was too expensive. This inability did not
|
||||
arise from the want of money, but of the finer and more improved
|
||||
manufactures. Buying and selling was transacted by means of money in
|
||||
England then as well as now. The quantity of circulating money must have
|
||||
borne the same proportion, to the number and value of purchases and sales
|
||||
usually transacted at that time, which it does to those transacted at
|
||||
present; or, rather, it must have borne a greater proportion, because
|
||||
there was then no paper, which now occupies a great part of the employment
|
||||
of gold and silver. Among nations to whom commerce and manufactures are
|
||||
little known, the sovereign, upon extraordinary occasions, can seldom draw
|
||||
any considerable aid from his subjects, for reasons which shall be
|
||||
explained hereafter. It is in such countries, therefore, that he generally
|
||||
endeavours to accumulate a treasure, as the only resource against such
|
||||
emergencies. Independent of this necessity, he is, in such a situation,
|
||||
naturally disposed to the parsimony requisite for accumulation. In that
|
||||
simple state, the expense even of a sovereign is not directed by the
|
||||
vanity which delights in the gaudy finery of a court, but is employed in
|
||||
bounty to his tenants, and hospitality to his retainers. But bounty and
|
||||
hospitality very seldom lead to extravagance; though vanity almost always
|
||||
does. Every Tartar chief, accordingly, has a treasure. The treasures of
|
||||
Mazepa, chief of the Cossacks in the Ukraine, the famous ally of Charles
|
||||
XII., are said to have been very great. The French kings of the
|
||||
Merovingian race had all treasures. When they divided their kingdom among
|
||||
their different children, they divided their treasures too. The Saxon
|
||||
princes, and the first kings after the Conquest, seem likewise to have
|
||||
accumulated treasures. The first exploit of every new reign was commonly
|
||||
to seize the treasure of the preceding king, as the most essential measure
|
||||
for securing the succession. The sovereigns of improved and commercial
|
||||
countries are not under the same necessity of accumulating treasures,
|
||||
because they can generally draw from their subjects extraordinary aids
|
||||
upon extraordinary occasions. They are likewise less disposed to do so.
|
||||
They naturally, perhaps necessarily, follow the mode of the times; and
|
||||
their expense comes to be regulated by the same extravagant vanity which
|
||||
directs that of all the other great proprietors in their dominions. The
|
||||
insignificant pageantry of their court becomes every day more brilliant;
|
||||
and the expense of it not only prevents accumulation, but frequently
|
||||
encroaches upon the funds destined for more necessary expenses. What
|
||||
Dercyllidas said of the court of Persia, may be applied to that of several
|
||||
European princes, that he saw there much splendour, but little strength,
|
||||
and many servants, but few soldiers.
|
||||
|
||||
The importation of gold and silver is not the principal, much less the
|
||||
sole benefit, which a nation derives from its foreign trade. Between
|
||||
whatever places foreign trade is carried on, they all of them derive two
|
||||
distinct benefits from it. It carries out that surplus part of the produce
|
||||
of their land and labour for which there is no demand among them, and
|
||||
brings back in return for it something else for which there is a demand.
|
||||
It gives a value to their superfluities, by exchanging them for something
|
||||
else, which may satisfy a part of their wants and increase their
|
||||
enjoyments. By means of it, the narrowness of the home market does not
|
||||
hinder the division of labour in any particular branch of art or
|
||||
manufacture from being carried to the highest perfection. By opening a
|
||||
more extensive market for whatever part of the produce of their labour may
|
||||
exceed the home consumption, it encourages them to improve its productive
|
||||
power, and to augment its annual produce to the utmost, and thereby to
|
||||
increase the real revenue and wealth of the society. These great and
|
||||
important services foreign trade is continually occupied in performing to
|
||||
all the different countries between which it is carried on. They all
|
||||
derive great benefit from it, though that in which the merchant resides
|
||||
generally derives the greatest, as he is generally more employed in
|
||||
supplying the wants, and carrying out the superfluities of his own, than
|
||||
of any other particular country. To import the gold and silver which may
|
||||
be wanted into the countries which have no mines, is, no doubt a part of
|
||||
the business of foreign commerce. It is, however, a most insignificant
|
||||
part of it. A country which carried on foreign trade merely upon this
|
||||
account, could scarce have occasion to freight a ship in a century.
|
||||
|
||||
It is not by the importation of gold and silver that the discovery of
|
||||
America has enriched Europe. By the abundance of the American mines, those
|
||||
metals have become cheaper. A service of plate can now be purchased for
|
||||
about a third part of the corn, or a third part of the labour, which it
|
||||
would have cost in the fifteenth century. With the same annual expense of
|
||||
labour and commodities, Europe can annually purchase about three times the
|
||||
quantity of plate which it could have purchased at that time. But when a
|
||||
commodity comes to be sold for a third part of what bad been its usual
|
||||
price, not only those who purchased it before can purchase three times
|
||||
their former quantity, but it is brought down to the level of a much
|
||||
greater number of purchasers, perhaps to more than ten, perhaps to more
|
||||
than twenty times the former number. So that there may be in Europe at
|
||||
present, not only more than three times, but more than twenty or thirty
|
||||
times the quantity of plate which would have been in it, even in its
|
||||
present state of improvement, had the discovery of the American mines
|
||||
never been made. So far Europe has, no doubt, gained a real conveniency,
|
||||
though surely a very trifling one. The cheapness of gold and silver
|
||||
renders those metals rather less fit for the purposes of money than they
|
||||
were before. In order to make the same purchases, we must load ourselves
|
||||
with a greater quantity of them, and carry about a shilling in our pocket,
|
||||
where a groat would have done before. It is difficult to say which is most
|
||||
trifling, this inconveniency, or the opposite conveniency. Neither the one
|
||||
nor the other could have made any very essential change in the state of
|
||||
Europe. The discovery of America, however, certainly made a most essential
|
||||
one. By opening a new and inexhaustible market to all the commodities of
|
||||
Europe, it gave occasion to new divisions of labour and improvements of
|
||||
art, which in the narrow circle of the ancient commerce could never have
|
||||
taken place, for want of a market to take off the greater part of their
|
||||
produce. The productive powers of labour were improved, and its produce
|
||||
increased in all the different countries of Europe, and together with it
|
||||
the real revenue and wealth of the inhabitants. The commodities of Europe
|
||||
were almost all new to America, and many of those of America were new to
|
||||
Europe. A new set of exchanges, therefore, began to take place, which had
|
||||
never been thought of before, and which should naturally have proved as
|
||||
advantageous to the new, as it certainly did to the old continent. The
|
||||
savage injustice of the Europeans rendered an event, which ought to have
|
||||
been beneficial to all, ruinous and destructive to several of those
|
||||
unfortunate countries.
|
||||
|
||||
The discovery of a passage to the East Indies by the Cape of Good Hope,
|
||||
which happened much about the same time, opened perhaps a still more
|
||||
extensive range to foreign commerce, than even that of America,
|
||||
notwithstanding the greater distance. There were but two nations in
|
||||
America, in any respect, superior to the savages, and these were destroyed
|
||||
almost as soon as discovered. The rest were mere savages. But the empires
|
||||
of China, Indostan, Japan, as well as several others in the East Indies,
|
||||
without having richer mines of gold or silver, were, in every other
|
||||
respect, much richer, better cultivated, and more advanced in all arts and
|
||||
manufactures, than either Mexico or Peru, even though we should credit,
|
||||
what plainly deserves no credit, the exaggerated accounts of the Spanish
|
||||
writers concerning the ancient state of those empires. But rich and
|
||||
civilized nations can always exchange to a much greater value with one
|
||||
another, than with savages and barbarians. Europe, however, has hitherto
|
||||
derived much less advantage from its commerce with the East Indies, than
|
||||
from that with America. The Portuguese monopolised the East India trade to
|
||||
themselves for about a century; and it was only indirectly, and through
|
||||
them, that the other nations of Europe could either send out or receive
|
||||
any goods from that country. When the Dutch, in the beginning of the last
|
||||
century, began to encroach upon them, they vested their whole East India
|
||||
commerce in an exclusive company. The English, French, Swedes, and Danes,
|
||||
have all followed their example; so that no great nation of Europe has
|
||||
ever yet had the benefit of a free commerce to the East Indies. No other
|
||||
reason need be assigned why it has never been so advantageous as the trade
|
||||
to America, which, between almost every nation of Europe and its own
|
||||
colonies, is free to all its subjects. The exclusive privileges of those
|
||||
East India companies, their great riches, the great favour and protection
|
||||
which these have procured them from their respective governments, have
|
||||
excited much envy against them. This envy has frequently represented their
|
||||
trade as altogether pernicious, on account of the great quantities of
|
||||
silver which it every year exports from the countries from which it is
|
||||
carried on. The parties concerned have replied, that their trade by this
|
||||
continual exportation of silver, might indeed tend to impoverish Europe in
|
||||
general, but not the particular country from which it was carried on;
|
||||
because, by the exportation of a part of the returns to other European
|
||||
countries, it annually brought home a much greater quantity of that metal
|
||||
than it carried out. Both the objection and the reply are founded in the
|
||||
popular notion which I have been just now examining. It is therefore
|
||||
unnecessary to say any thing further about either. By the annual
|
||||
exportation of silver to the East Indies, plate is probably somewhat
|
||||
dearer in Europe than it otherwise might have been; and coined silver
|
||||
probably purchases a larger quantity both of labour and commodities. The
|
||||
former of these two effects is a very small loss, the latter a very small
|
||||
advantage; both too insignificant to deserve any part of the public
|
||||
attention. The trade to the East Indies, by opening a market to the
|
||||
commodities of Europe, or, what comes nearly to the same thing, to the
|
||||
gold and silver which is purchased with those commodities, must
|
||||
necessarily tend to increase the annual production of European
|
||||
commodities, and consequently the real wealth and revenue of Europe. That
|
||||
it has hitherto increased them so little, is probably owing to the
|
||||
restraints which it everywhere labours under.
|
||||
|
||||
I thought it necessary, though at the hazard of being tedious, to examine
|
||||
at full length this popular notion, that wealth consists in money or in
|
||||
gold and silver. Money, in common language, as I have already observed,
|
||||
frequently signifies wealth; and this ambiguity of expression has rendered
|
||||
this popular notion so familiar to us, that even they who are convinced of
|
||||
its absurdity, are very apt to forget their own principles, and, in the
|
||||
course of their reasonings, to take it for granted as a certain and
|
||||
undeniable truth. Some of the best English writers upon commerce set out
|
||||
with observing, that the wealth of a country consists, not in its gold and
|
||||
silver only, but in its lands, houses, and consumable goods of all
|
||||
different kinds. In the course of their reasonings, however, the lands,
|
||||
houses, and consumable goods, seem to slip out of their memory; and the
|
||||
strain of their argument frequently supposes that all wealth consists in
|
||||
gold and silver, and that to multiply those metals is the great object of
|
||||
national industry and commerce.
|
||||
|
||||
The two principles being established, however, that wealth consisted in
|
||||
gold and silver, and that those metals could be brought into a country
|
||||
which had no mines, only by the balance of trade, or by exporting to a
|
||||
greater value than it imported; it necessarily became the great object of
|
||||
political economy to diminish as much as possible the importation of
|
||||
foreign goods for home consumption, and to increase as much as possible
|
||||
the exportation of the produce of domestic industry. Its two great engines
|
||||
for enriching the country, therefore, were restraints upon importation,
|
||||
and encouragement to exportation.
|
||||
|
||||
The restraints upon importation were of two kinds.
|
||||
|
||||
First, restraints upon the importation of such foreign goods for home
|
||||
consumption as could be produced at home, from whatever country they were
|
||||
imported.
|
||||
|
||||
Secondly, restraints upon the importation of goods of almost all kinds,
|
||||
from those particular countries with which the balance of trade was
|
||||
supposed to be disadvantageous.
|
||||
|
||||
Those different restraints consisted sometimes in high duties, and
|
||||
sometimes in absolute prohibitions.
|
||||
|
||||
Exportation was encouraged sometimes by drawbacks, sometimes by bounties,
|
||||
sometimes by advantageous treaties of commerce with foreign states, and
|
||||
sometimes by the establishment of colonies in distant countries.
|
||||
|
||||
Drawbacks were given upon two different occasions. When the home
|
||||
manufactures were subject to any duty or excise, either the whole or a
|
||||
part of it was frequently drawn back upon their exportation; and when
|
||||
foreign goods liable to a duty were imported, in order to be exported
|
||||
again, either the whole or a part of this duty was sometimes given back
|
||||
upon such exportation.
|
||||
|
||||
Bounties were given for the encouragement, either of some beginning
|
||||
manufactures, or of such sorts of industry of other kinds as were supposed
|
||||
to deserve particular favour.
|
||||
|
||||
By advantageous treaties of commerce, particular privileges were procured
|
||||
in some foreign state for the goods and merchants of the country, beyond
|
||||
what were granted to those of other countries.
|
||||
|
||||
By the establishment of colonies in distant countries, not only particular
|
||||
privileges, but a monopoly was frequently procured for the goods and
|
||||
merchants of the country which established them.
|
||||
|
||||
The two sorts of restraints upon importation above mentioned, together
|
||||
with these four encouragements to exportation, constitute the six
|
||||
principal means by which the commercial system proposes to increase the
|
||||
quantity of gold and silver in any country, by turning the balance of
|
||||
trade in its favour. I shall consider each of them in a particular
|
||||
chapter, and, without taking much farther notice of their supposed
|
||||
tendency to bring money into the country, I shall examine chiefly what are
|
||||
likely to be the effects of each of them upon the annual produce of its
|
||||
industry. According as they tend either to increase or diminish the value
|
||||
of this annual produce, they must evidently tend either to increase or
|
||||
diminish the real wealth and revenue of the country.
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
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