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whynot-control/MARKET_SIGNAL.md
2026-05-23 03:39:47 +02:00

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Market Signal

Purpose

This document defines how whynot records and interprets early signals from potential users, collaborators, customers, or investors.

Signal Principles

  • Signals are evidence, not vibes.
  • Weak signals are useful if clearly labeled.
  • Contradictory signals should be preserved.
  • A signal should be connected to a prototype, audience, or hypothesis.
  • Lack of signal is also information.

Signal Strength

Level Name Meaning
S0 No Signal No observable interest or usefulness
S1 Weak Signal Some curiosity, comments, or informal interest
S2 Medium Signal Repeated interest, specific feedback, or trial use
S3 Strong Signal Users take action, return, refer, contribute, or ask for pricing
S4 Commercial Signal Users pay, pre-order, commit budget, or request procurement path

Signal Record Format

Use templates/signal-record.md.

Signal Review Questions

  • Who produced the signal?
  • What did they actually do?
  • What did they merely say?
  • Was there cost, effort, risk, or commitment involved?
  • Does the signal point toward a specific product, offer, or community need?
  • Does the signal justify another experiment?