generated from coulomb/repo-seed
251 lines
6.0 KiB
Markdown
251 lines
6.0 KiB
Markdown
---
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002
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type: workplan
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title: "Economic Observatory MVP (Coulomb Social)"
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domain: helix_forge
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repo: adaptive-pricing
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status: active
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owner: codex
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topic_slug: helix-forge
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created: "2026-06-21"
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updated: "2026-06-21"
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state_hub_workstream_id: "9e0b7784-702a-4bc7-b7a1-3ff801f9c768"
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---
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# Economic Observatory MVP (Coulomb Social)
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Build the first practical implementation of the Adaptive Pricing framework using
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Coulomb Social memberships as a live economic laboratory.
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The MVP focuses on observation, measurement, simulation, and pricing discovery
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before introducing adaptive customer pricing.
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## Context
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### Current Product: Coulomb Social
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**Membership:** €8.99/month subscription, managed through Bubble.io, paid through
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Stripe, grants repository and community access.
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**Fixed costs:** Bubble.io subscription (~$35/month), domains, operational overhead.
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**Variable costs:** Stripe transaction fees, future OpenRouter AI consumption costs.
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### MVP Vision
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The MVP shall provide an Economic Observatory capable of answering:
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1. What does a member actually cost?
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2. What is the current CostFloor?
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3. What margin exists at current pricing?
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4. How much AI cost is generated by individual members?
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5. Which pricing models appear viable?
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6. Which customer segments emerge?
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7. When would usage-based pricing become necessary?
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### Scope
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**Included:** membership analytics, revenue tracking, cost tracking, OpenRouter cost
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attribution, CostFloor calculation, margin analysis, pricing simulations, pricing
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model registry.
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**Excluded:** dynamic pricing, automated price changes, customer-tunable pricing,
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advanced LTV optimization, marketplace pricing.
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### Architecture
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```text
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Bubble.io
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+-- Membership Data
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Stripe
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+-- Revenue Data
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+-- Fee Data
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OpenRouter
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+-- Usage Data
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+-- Cost Data
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Adaptive Pricing MVP
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+-- Cost Registry
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+-- Revenue Registry
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+-- Usage Registry
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+-- Cost Allocation Engine
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+-- Pricing Simulator
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+-- Reporting Dashboard
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```
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### Success Criteria
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The MVP is successful when it can:
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- Calculate CostFloor
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- Calculate Margin
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- Attribute AI cost to members
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- Simulate alternative pricing models
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- Compare subscription and usage-based models
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- Explain economic outcomes
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- Produce pricing recommendations
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### Future Phases
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| Phase | Focus |
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|-------|-------|
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| Phase 2 | Customer-visible AI credits |
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| Phase 3 | Usage-based billing |
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| Phase 4 | Customer-tunable pricing |
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| Phase 5 | Constraint-based pricing solver |
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| Phase 6 | Auto-Regulating Market Value Exploring Price Engine |
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The MVP should establish a data-driven foundation for pricing decisions and
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generate the real-world observations necessary to evolve toward adaptive pricing,
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customer-tunable pricing, and ultimately an auto-regulating market value
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exploration engine.
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## Sprint 1 — Economic Foundations
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T01
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status: todo
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priority: high
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state_hub_task_id: "fac96369-a037-4b7e-a1ed-92659bce7e4e"
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```
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Create the core economic model.
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**Deliverables:** product model, pricing model registry, cost registry, revenue
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registry, membership registry.
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**Metrics:** monthly revenue, monthly cost, cost per member, gross margin, active
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members.
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**Output:** Economics Dashboard v1.
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## Sprint 2 — Bubble.io Integration
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T02
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status: wait
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priority: high
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state_hub_task_id: "42c181f9-9f4e-414e-aa94-b08c763abdef"
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```
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Import membership information.
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**Deliverables:** Bubble membership importer, membership snapshots, active member
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tracking, historical growth tracking.
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**Metrics:** total members, new members, churn, growth rate.
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**Output:** Membership Analytics Dashboard.
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## Sprint 3 — Stripe Integration
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T03
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status: wait
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priority: high
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state_hub_task_id: "c7e308bc-5977-40c8-985a-9dca2ad3984a"
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```
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Capture actual revenue and payment costs.
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**Deliverables:** Stripe synchronization, revenue tracking, fee tracking, refund
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tracking.
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**Metrics:** net revenue, Stripe fees, revenue per member.
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**Output:** Revenue Dashboard.
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## Sprint 4 — OpenRouter Cost Attribution
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T04
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status: wait
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priority: high
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state_hub_task_id: "b2b61910-429c-46e9-93b8-25702ca337a7"
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```
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Track AI usage and cost.
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**Deliverables:** OpenRouter usage importer, cost attribution per user,
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model-level cost tracking, token accounting.
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**Metrics:** cost per user, cost per model, total AI spend.
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**Output:** AI Cost Dashboard.
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## Sprint 5 — Cost Allocation Engine
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T05
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status: wait
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priority: medium
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state_hub_task_id: "906009be-5670-428a-b6d1-2700c67e9c65"
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```
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Calculate economic reality.
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**Deliverables:**
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- Fixed cost allocation (Bubble.io, domains, infrastructure)
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- Variable cost allocation (Stripe fees, OpenRouter costs)
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- CostFloor, contribution margin, cost per member calculations
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**Output:** CostFloor Report.
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## Sprint 6 — Pricing Simulator
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T06
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status: wait
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priority: medium
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state_hub_task_id: "cb735e7d-72ac-41df-97d4-e0133cb4bb84"
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```
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Evaluate pricing scenarios.
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**Example scenarios:**
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- Current: €8.99/month, unlimited access
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- Membership + credits: €8.99/month with included AI allowance
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- Membership + overage: €8.99/month with included credits and usage-based overage
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- Lower subscription: lower base fee with higher usage fees
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**Output:** Pricing Explorer.
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## Sprint 7 — Membership Credit System
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T07
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status: wait
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priority: medium
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state_hub_task_id: "aa8efb52-dbd8-4309-a15d-ea04d80c57f6"
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```
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Introduce AI credit accounting without billing.
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**Deliverables:** credit wallet, monthly allowance, usage tracking, remaining
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balance tracking.
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**Output:** Member Usage Dashboard.
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## Sprint 8 — Adaptive Pricing Prototype
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```task
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id: ADAPTIVE-WP-0002-T08
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status: wait
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priority: low
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state_hub_task_id: "d8195bf0-5b0d-4fbd-9776-0b619097c64f"
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```
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Implement first pricing optimization logic.
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**Deliverables:** pricing parameter model, constraint model, seller economics
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model, comparable customer LTV prototype, pricing recommendation engine.
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**Output:** Adaptive Pricing Prototype v1. |