Files
markitect-main/examples/infospace-with-history/output/evaluations/public_lottery.md
tegwick a9ca0adfcf feat(example): add per-entity LLM evaluations for 985 WoN entities (S3.3)
Batch evaluation of all 988 entities via OpenRouter. 984 succeeded on
first pass; 3 failed (network errors). eval-summary --update-metrics
written with per_entity_mean=3.9556.

Viability dashboard: 6/6 PASS
  redundancy_ratio   0.0061  (max 0.10)
  coverage_ratio     0.6190  (min 0.40)
  coherence_comps    0.0000  (max 3)
  consistency_cycles 0.0000  (max 0)
  granularity_entropy 2.6748 (min 1.0)
  per_entity_mean    3.9556  (min 3.5)

Dimension breakdown (mean across 985 entities):
  definition_precision  3.62
  source_grounding      4.36
  domain_placement      4.56
  vsm_relevance         3.31
  explanatory_value     3.94

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-02-23 09:36:46 +01:00

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4.1 KiB
Markdown

---
entity_slug: public_lottery
evaluator: null
evaluated_at: '2026-02-23T06:13:29.706363'
overall_score: 4.0
scores:
- name: definition_precision
value: 4.0
max_value: 5.0
rationale: The definition clearly distinguishes public lottery as a government-sponsored
gambling scheme and precisely captures Smith's analytical use of it as an illustration
of systematic cognitive bias regarding risk assessment. The definition avoids
circularity and identifies the specific behavioral economics insight Smith derives
from this example.
- name: source_grounding
value: 5.0
max_value: 5.0
rationale: This entity is directly grounded in Smith's actual text from Book I,
Chapter 10, where he explicitly uses public lotteries as an analytical tool to
explain how people misjudge probabilities. The behavioral insight about overvaluing
gains and undervaluing losses accurately reflects Smith's argument without introducing
external concepts.
- name: domain_placement
value: 4.0
max_value: 5.0
rationale: '"General Theory" is appropriate as this concept illustrates Smith''s
broader theoretical insights about human psychology and market behavior rather
than belonging to a specific economic sector. The lottery example serves as a
foundational building block for understanding labor market dynamics and risk assessment
across multiple domains.'
- name: vsm_relevance
value: 2.0
max_value: 5.0
rationale: This entity represents a cognitive/behavioral phenomenon rather than
an organizational system or function, making it largely VSM-neutral. While it
might tangentially relate to S4 (intelligence/environmental adaptation) in terms
of how individuals process information about opportunities, it doesn't naturally
map to VSM system categories.
- name: explanatory_value
value: 5.0
max_value: 5.0
rationale: This entity provides significant explanatory power by illuminating the
psychological mechanism underlying market inefficiencies and career choices, explaining
why certain professions remain overcrowded despite poor average outcomes. It reveals
a fundamental structural relationship between human psychology and economic behavior
that Smith uses to explain broader market phenomena.
---
# Evaluation: Public Lottery
## definition_precision — 4.0 / 5.0
The definition clearly distinguishes public lottery as a government-sponsored gambling scheme and precisely captures Smith's analytical use of it as an illustration of systematic cognitive bias regarding risk assessment. The definition avoids circularity and identifies the specific behavioral economics insight Smith derives from this example.
## source_grounding — 5.0 / 5.0
This entity is directly grounded in Smith's actual text from Book I, Chapter 10, where he explicitly uses public lotteries as an analytical tool to explain how people misjudge probabilities. The behavioral insight about overvaluing gains and undervaluing losses accurately reflects Smith's argument without introducing external concepts.
## domain_placement — 4.0 / 5.0
"General Theory" is appropriate as this concept illustrates Smith's broader theoretical insights about human psychology and market behavior rather than belonging to a specific economic sector. The lottery example serves as a foundational building block for understanding labor market dynamics and risk assessment across multiple domains.
## vsm_relevance — 2.0 / 5.0
This entity represents a cognitive/behavioral phenomenon rather than an organizational system or function, making it largely VSM-neutral. While it might tangentially relate to S4 (intelligence/environmental adaptation) in terms of how individuals process information about opportunities, it doesn't naturally map to VSM system categories.
## explanatory_value — 5.0 / 5.0
This entity provides significant explanatory power by illuminating the psychological mechanism underlying market inefficiencies and career choices, explaining why certain professions remain overcrowded despite poor average outcomes. It reveals a fundamental structural relationship between human psychology and economic behavior that Smith uses to explain broader market phenomena.