Implements markitect/llm/ package with concrete LLMAdapter implementations:
- OpenRouterAdapter: HTTP via urllib with retry/backoff on 429/5xx
- ClaudeCodeAdapter: subprocess-based Claude CLI with stdin piping
- Factory pattern: create_adapter("openrouter") or create_adapter("claude-code")
- API key resolution chain: constructor > env var > project-root key file
- 42 unit tests, 2 integration tests (gated on API key / CLI availability)
Also adds the infospace-with-history example with Wealth of Nations VSM
analysis pipeline, templates, schemas, source chapters, and processed
output for chapters 1-2. process_chapters.py now supports --provider
and --model flags for automatic LLM-driven processing.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
454 lines
30 KiB
Markdown
454 lines
30 KiB
Markdown
---
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id: book-4-chapter-06
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title: "OF TREATIES OF COMMERCE."
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book: "4"
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chapter: 6
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artifact_type: content
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---
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CHAPTER VI.
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OF TREATIES OF COMMERCE.
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When a nation binds itself by treaty, either to permit the entry of
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certain goods from one foreign country which it prohibits from all others,
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or to exempt the goods of one country from duties to which it subjects
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those of all others, the country, or at least the merchants and
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manufacturers of the country, whose commerce is so favoured, must
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necessarily derive great advantage from the treaty. Those merchants and
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manufacturers enjoy a sort of monopoly in the country which is so
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indulgent to them. That country becomes a market, both more extensive and
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more advantageous for their goods: more extensive, because the goods of
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other nations being either excluded or subjected to heavier duties, it
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takes off a greater quantity of theirs; more advantageous, because the
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merchants of the favoured country, enjoying a sort of monopoly there, will
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often sell their goods for a better price than if exposed to the free
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competition of all other nations.
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Such treaties, however, though they may be advantageous to the merchants
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and manufacturers of the favoured, are necessarily disadvantageous to
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those of the favouring country. A monopoly is thus granted against them to
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a foreign nation; and they must frequently buy the foreign goods they have
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occasion for, dearer than if the free competition of other nations was
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admitted. That part of its own produce with which such a nation purchases
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foreign goods, must consequently be sold cheaper; because, when two things
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are exchanged for one another, the cheapness of the one is a necessary
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consequence, or rather is the same thing, with the dearness of the other.
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The exchangeable value of its annual produce, therefore, is likely to be
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diminished by every such treaty. This diminution, however, can scarce
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amount to any positive loss, but only to a lessening of the gain which it
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might otherwise make. Though it sells its goods cheaper than it otherwise
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might do, it will not probably sell them for less than they cost; nor, as
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in the case of bounties, for a price which will not replace the capital
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employed in bringing them to market, together with the ordinary profits of
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stock. The trade could not go on long if it did. Even the favouring
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country, therefore, may still gain by the trade, though less than if there
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was a free competition.
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Some treaties of commerce, however, have been supposed advantageous, upon
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principles very different from these; and a commercial country has
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sometimes granted a monopoly of this kind, against itself, to certain
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goods of a foreign nation, because it expected, that in the whole commerce
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between them, it would annually sell more than it would buy, and that a
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balance in gold and silver would be annually returned to it. It is upon
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this principle that the treaty of commerce between England and Portugal,
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concluded in 1703 by Mr Methuen, has been so much commended. The following
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is a literal translation of that treaty, which consists of three articles
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only.
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ART. I. His sacred royal majesty of Portugal promises, both in his own
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name and that of his successors, to admit for ever hereafter, into
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Portugal, the woollen cloths, and the rest of the woollen manufactures of
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the British, as was accustomed, till they were prohibited by the law;
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nevertheless upon this condition:
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ART. II. That is to say, that her sacred royal majesty of Great Britain
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shall, in her own name, and that of her successors, be obliged, for ever
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hereafter, to admit the wines of the growth of Portugal into Britain; so
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that at no time, whether there shall be peace or war between the kingdoms
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of Britain and France, any thing more shall be demanded for these wines by
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the name of custom or duty, or by whatsoever other title, directly or
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indirectly, whether they shall be imported into Great Britain in pipes or
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hogsheads, or other casks, than what shall be demanded for the like
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quantity or measure of French wine, deducting or abating a third part of
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the custom or duty. But if, at any time, this deduction or abatement of
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customs, which is to be made as aforesaid, shall in any manner be
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attempted and prejudiced, it shall be just and lawful for his sacred royal
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majesty of Portugal, again to prohibit the woollen cloths, and the rest of
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the British woollen manufactures.
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ART. III. The most excellent lords the plenipotentiaries promise and take
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upon themselves, that their above named masters shall ratify this treaty;
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and within the space of two months the ratification shall be exchanged.
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By this treaty, the crown of Portugal becomes bound to admit the English
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woollens upon the same footing as before the prohibition; that is, not to
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raise the duties which had been paid before that time. But it does not
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become bound to admit them upon any better terms than those of any other
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nation, of France or Holland, for example. The crown of Great Britain, on
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the contrary, becomes bound to admit the wines of Portugal, upon paying
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only two-thirds of the duty which is paid for those of France, the wines
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most likely to come into competition with them. So far this treaty,
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therefore, is evidently advantageous to Portugal, and disadvantageous to
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Great Britain.
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It has been celebrated, however, as a masterpiece of the commercial policy
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of England. Portugal receives annually from the Brazils a greater quantity
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of gold than can be employed in its domestic commerce, whether in the
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shape of coin or of plate. The surplus is too valuable to be allowed to
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lie idle and locked up in coffers; and as it can find no advantageous
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market at home, it must, notwithstanding; any prohibition, be sent abroad,
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and exchanged for something for which there is a more advantageous market
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at home. A large share of it comes annually to England, in return either
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for English goods, or for those of other European nations that receive
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their returns through England. Mr Barretti was informed, that the weekly
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packet-boat from Lisbon brings, one week with another, more than £50,000
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in gold to England. The sum had probably been exaggerated. It would amount
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to more than £2,600,000 a year, which is more than the Brazils are
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supposed to afford.
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Our merchants were, some years ago, out of humour with the crown of
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Portugal. Some privileges which had been granted them, not by treaty, but
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by the free grace of that crown, at the solicitation, indeed, it is
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probable, and in return for much greater favours, defence and protection
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from the crown of Great Britain, had been either infringed or revoked. The
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people, therefore, usually most interested in celebrating the Portugal
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trade, were then rather disposed to represent it as less advantageous than
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it had commonly been imagined. The far greater part, almost the whole,
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they pretended, of this annual importation of gold, was not on account of
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Great Britain, but of other European nations; the fruits and wines of
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Portugal annually imported into Great Britain nearly compensating the
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value of the British goods sent thither.
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Let us suppose, however, that the whole was on account of Great Britain,
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and that it amounted to a still greater sum than Mr Barretti seems to
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imagine; this trade would not, upon that account, be more advantageous
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than any other, in which, for the same value sent out, we received an
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equal value of consumable goods in return.
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It is but a very small part of this importation which, it can be supposed,
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is employed as an annual addition, either to the plate or to the coin of
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the kingdom. The rest must all be sent abroad, and exchanged for
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consumable goods of some kind or other. But if those consumable goods were
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purchased directly with the produce of English industry, it would be more
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for the advantage of England, than first to purchase with that produce the
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gold of Portugal, and afterwards to purchase with that gold those
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consumable goods. A direct foreign trade of consumption is always more
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advantageous than a round-about one; and to bring the same value of
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foreign goods to the home market requires a much smaller capital in the
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one way than in the ether. If a smaller share of its industry, therefore,
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had been employed in producing goods fit for the Portugal market, and a
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greater in producing those lit for the other markets, where those
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consumable goods for which there is a demand in Great Britain are to be
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had, it would have been more for the advantage of England. To procure both
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the gold which it wants for its own use, and the consumable goods, would,
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in this way, employ a much smaller capital than at present. There would be
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a spare capital, therefore, to be employed for other purposes, in exciting
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an additional quantity of industry, and in raising a greater annual
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produce.
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Though Britain were entirely excluded from the Portugal trade, it could
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find very little difficulty in procuring all the annual supplies of gold
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which it wants, either for the purposes of plate, or of coin, or of
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foreign trade. Gold, like every other commodity, is always somewhere or
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another to be got for its value by those who have that value to give for
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it. The annual surplus of gold in Portugal, besides, would still be sent
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abroad, and though not carried away by Great Britain, would be carried
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away by some other nation, which would be glad to sell it again for its
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price, in the same manner as Great Britain does at present. In buying gold
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of Portugal, indeed, we buy it at the first hand; whereas, in buying it of
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any other nation, except Spain, we should buy it at the second, and might
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pay somewhat dearer. This difference, however, would surely be too
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insignificant to deserve the public attention.
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Almost all our gold, it is said, comes from Portugal. With other nations,
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the balance of trade is either against as, or not much in our favour. But
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we should remember, that the more gold we import from one country, the
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less we must necessarily import from all others. The effectual demand for
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gold, like that for every other commodity, is in every country limited to
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a certain quantity. If nine-tenths of this quantity are imported from one
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country, there remains a tenth only to be imported from all others. The
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more gold, besides, that is annually imported from some particular
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countries, over and above what is requisite for plate and for coin, the
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more must necessarily be exported to some others: and the more that most
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insignificant object of modern policy, the balance of trade, appears to be
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in our favour with some particular countries, the more it must necessarily
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appear to be against us with many others.
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It was upon this silly notion, however, that England could not subsist
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without the Portugal trade, that, towards the end of the late war, France
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and Spain, without pretending either offence or provocation, required the
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king of Portugal to exclude all British ships from his ports, and, for the
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security of this exclusion, to receive into them French or Spanish
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garrisons. Had the king of Portugal submitted to those ignominious terms
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which his brother-in-law the king of Spain proposed to him, Britain would
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have been freed from a much greater inconveniency than the loss of the
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Portugal trade, the burden of supporting a very weak ally, so unprovided
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of every thing for his own defence, that the whole power of England, had
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it been directed to that single purpose, could scarce, perhaps, have
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defended him for another campaign. The loss of the Portugal trade would,
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no doubt, have occasioned a considerable embarrassment to the merchants at
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that time engaged in it, who might not, perhaps, have found out, for a
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year or two, any other equally advantageous method of employing their
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capitals; and in this would probably have consisted all the inconveniency
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which England could have suffered from this notable piece of commercial
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policy.
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The great annual importation of gold and silver is neither for the purpose
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of plate nor of coin, but of foreign trade. A round-about foreign trade of
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consumption can be carried on more advantageously by means of these metals
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than of almost any other goods. As they are the universal instruments of
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commerce, they are more readily received in return for all commodities
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than any other goods; and, on account of their small bulk and great value,
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it costs less to transport them backward and forward from one place to
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another than almost any other sort of merchandize, and they lose less of
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their value by being so transported. Of all the commodities, therefore,
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which are bought in one foreign country, for no other purpose but to be
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sold or exchanged again for some other goods in another, there are none so
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convenient as gold and silver. In facilitating all the different
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round-about foreign trades of consumption which are carried on in Great
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Britain, consists the principal advantage of the Portugal trade; and
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though it is not a capital advantage, it is, no doubt, a considerable one.
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That any annual addition which, it can reasonably be supposed, is made
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either to the plate or to the coin of the kingdom, could require but a
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very small annual importation of gold and silver, seems evident enough;
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and though we had no direct trade with Portugal, this small quantity could
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always, somewhere or another, be very easily got.
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Though the goldsmiths trade be very considerable in Great Britain, the far
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greater part of the new plate which they annually sell, is made from other
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old plate melted down; so that the addition annually made to the whole
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plate of the kingdom cannot be very great, and could require but a very
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small annual importation.
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It is the same case with the coin. Nobody imagines, I believe, that even
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the greater part of the annual coinage, amounting, for ten years together,
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before the late reformation of the gold coin, to upwards of £800,000
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a-year in gold, was an annual addition to the money before current in the
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kingdom. In a country where the expense of the coinage is defrayed by the
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government, the value of the coin, even when it contains its full standard
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weight of gold and silver, can never be much greater than that of an equal
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quantity of those metals uncoined, because it requires only the trouble of
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going to the mint, and the delay, perhaps, of a few weeks, to procure for
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any quantity of uncoined gold and silver an equal quantity of those metals
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in coin; but in every country the greater part of the current coin is
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almost always more or less worn, or otherwise degenerated from its
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standard. In Great Britain it was, before the late reformation, a good
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deal so, the gold being more than two per cent., and the silver more than
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eight per cent. below its standard weight. But if forty-four guineas and
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a-half, containing their full standard weight, a pound weight of gold,
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could purchase very little more than a pound weight of uncoined gold;
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forty-four guineas and a-half, wanting a part of their weight, could not
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purchase a pound weight, and something was to be added, in order to make
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up the deficiency. The current price of gold bullion at market, therefore,
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instead of being the same with the mint price, or £46:14:6, was then about
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£47:14s., and sometimes about £48. When the greater part of the coin,
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however, was in this degenerate condition, forty four guineas and a-half,
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fresh from the mint, would purchase no more goods in the market than any
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other ordinary guineas; because, when they came into the coffers of the
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merchant, being confounded with other money, they could not afterwards be
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distinguished without more trouble than the difference was worth. Like
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other guineas, they were worth no more than £46:14:6. If thrown into the
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melting pot, however, they produced, without any sensible loss, a pound
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weight of standard gold, which could be sold at any time for between
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£47:14s. and £48, either in gold or silver, as fit for all the purposes of
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coin as that which had been melted down. There was an evident profit,
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therefore, in melting down new-coined money; and it was done so
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instantaneously, that no precaution of government could prevent it. The
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operations of the mint were, upon this account, somewhat like the web of
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Penelope; the work that was done in the day was undone in the night. The
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mint was employed, not so much in making daily additions to the coin, as
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in replacing the very best part of it, which was daily melted down.
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Were the private people who carry their gold and silver to the mint to pay
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themselves for the coinage, it would add to the value of those metals, in
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the same manner as the fashion does to that of plate. Coined gold and
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silver would be more valuable than uncoined. The seignorage, if it was not
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exorbitant, would add to the bullion the whole value of the duty; because,
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the government having everywhere the exclusive privilege of coining, no
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coin can come to market cheaper than they think proper to afford it. If
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the duty was exorbitant, indeed, that is, if it was very much above the
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real value of the labour and expense requisite for coinage, false coiners,
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both at home and abroad, might be encouraged, by the great difference
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between the value of bullion and that of coin, to pour in so great a
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quantity of counterfeit money as might reduce the value of the government
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money. In France, however, though the seignorage is eight per cent., no
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sensible inconveniency of this kind is found to arise from it. The dangers
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to which a false coiner is everywhere exposed, if he lives in the country
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of which he counterfeits the coin, and to which his agents or
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correspondents are exposed, if he lives in a foreign country, are by far
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too great to be incurred for the sake of a profit of six or seven per
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cent.
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The seignorage in France raises the value of the coin higher than in
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proportion to the quantity of pure gold which it contains. Thus, by the
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edict of January 1726, the mint price of fine gold of twenty-four carats
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was fixed at seven hundred and forty livres nine sous and one denier
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one-eleventh the mark of eight Paris ounces. {See Dictionnaire des
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Monnoies, tom. ii. article Seigneurage, p. 439, par 81. Abbot de
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Bazinghen, Conseiller-Commissaire en la Cour des Monnoies à Paris.} The
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gold coin of France, making an allowance for the remedy of the mint,
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contains twenty-one carats and three-fourths of fine gold, and two carats
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one-fourth of alloy. The mark of standard gold, therefore, is worth no
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more than about six hundred and seventy-one livres ten deniers. But in
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France this mark of standard gold is coined into thirty louis d’ors of
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twenty-four livres each, or into seven hundred and twenty livres. The
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coinage, therefore, increases the value of a mark of standard gold
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bullion, by the difference between six hundred and seventy-one livres ten
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deniers and seven hundred and twenty livres, or by forty-eight livres
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nineteen sous and two deniers.
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A seignorage will, in many cases, take away altogether, and will in all
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cases diminish, the profit of melting down the new coin. This profit
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always arises from the difference between the quantity of bullion which
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the common currency ought to contain and that which it actually does
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contain. If this difference is less than the seignorage, there will be
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loss instead of profit. If it is equal to the seignorage, there will be
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neither profit nor loss. If it is greater than the seignorage, there will,
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indeed, be some profit, but less than if there was no seignorage. If,
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before the late reformation of the gold coin, for example, there had been
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a seignorage of five per cent. upon the coinage, there would have been a
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loss of three per cent. upon the melting down of the gold coin. If the
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seignorage had been two per cent., there would have been neither profit
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nor loss. If the seignorage had been one per cent., there would have been
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a profit but of one per cent. only, instead of two per cent. Wherever
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money is received by tale, therefore, and not by weight, a seignorage is
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the most effectual preventive of the melting down of the coin, and, for
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the same reason, of its exportation. It is the best and heaviest pieces
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that are commonly either melted down or exported, because it is upon such
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that the largest profits are made.
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The law for the encouragement of the coinage, by rendering it duty-free,
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was first enacted during the reign of Charles II. for a limited time, and
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afterwards continued, by different prolongations, till 1769, when it was
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rendered perpetual. The bank of England, in order to replenish their
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coffers with money, are frequently obliged to carry bullion to the mint;
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||
and it was more for their interest, they probably imagined, that the
|
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coinage should be at the expense of the government than at their own. It
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was probably out of complaisance to this great company, that the
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government agreed to render this law perpetual. Should the custom of
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weighing gold, however, come to be disused, as it is very likely to be on
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account of its inconveniency; should the gold coin of England come to be
|
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received by tale, as it was before the late recoinage this great company
|
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may, perhaps, find that they have, upon this, as upon some other
|
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occasions, mistaken their own interest not a little.
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|
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Before the late recoinage, when the gold currency of England was two per
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||
cent. below its standard weight, as there was no seignorage, it was two
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per cent. below the value of that quantity of standard gold bullion which
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it ought to have contained. When this great company, therefore, bought
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gold bullion in order to have it coined, they were obliged to pay for it
|
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two per cent. more than it was worth after the coinage. But if there had
|
||
been a seignorage of two per cent. upon the coinage, the common gold
|
||
currency, though two per cent. below its standard weight, would,
|
||
notwithstanding, have been equal in value to the quantity of standard gold
|
||
which it ought to have contained; the value of the fashion compensating in
|
||
this case the diminution of the weight. They would, indeed, have had the
|
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seignorage to pay, which being two per cent., their loss upon the whole
|
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transaction would have been two per cent., exactly the same, but no
|
||
greater than it actually was.
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|
||
If the seignorage had been five per cent. and the gold currency only two
|
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per cent. below its standard weight, the bank would, in this case, have
|
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gained three per cent. upon the price of the bullion; but as they would
|
||
have had a seignorage of five per cent. to pay upon the coinage, their
|
||
loss upon the whole transaction would, in the same manner, have been
|
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exactly two per cent.
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||
|
||
If the seignorage had been only one per cent., and the gold currency two
|
||
per cent. below its standard weight, the bank would, in this case, have
|
||
lost only one per cent. upon the price of the bullion; but as they would
|
||
likewise have had a seignorage of one per cent. to pay, their loss upon
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||
the whole transaction would have been exactly two per cent., in the same
|
||
manner as in all other cases.
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||
|
||
If there was a reasonable seignorage, while at the same time the coin
|
||
contained its full standard weight, as it has done very nearly since the
|
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late recoinage, whatever the bank might lose by the seignorage, they would
|
||
gain upon the price of the bullion; and whatever they might gain upon the
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||
price of the bullion, they would lose by the seignorage. They would
|
||
neither lose nor gain, therefore, upon the whole transaction, and they
|
||
would in this, as in all the foregoing cases, be exactly in the same
|
||
situation as if there was no seignorage.
|
||
|
||
When the tax upon a commodity is so moderate as not to encourage
|
||
smuggling, the merchant who deals in it, though he advances, does not
|
||
properly pay the tax, as he gets it back in the price of the commodity.
|
||
The tax is finally paid by the last purchaser or consumer. But money is a
|
||
commodity, with regard to which every man is a merchant. Nobody buys it
|
||
but in order to sell it again; and with regard to it there is, in ordinary
|
||
cases, no last purchaser or consumer. When the tax upon coinage,
|
||
therefore, is so moderate as not to encourage false coining, though every
|
||
body advances the tax, nobody finally pays it; because every body gets it
|
||
back in the advanced value of the coin.
|
||
|
||
A moderate seignorage, therefore, would not, in any case, augment the
|
||
expense of the bank, or of any other private persons who carry their
|
||
bullion to the mint in order to be coined; and the want of a moderate
|
||
seignorage does not in any case diminish it. Whether there is or is not a
|
||
seignorage, if the currency contains its full standard weight, the coinage
|
||
costs nothing to anybody; and if it is short of that weight, the coinage
|
||
must always cost the difference between the quantity of bullion which
|
||
ought to be contained in it, and that which actually is contained in it.
|
||
|
||
The government, therefore, when it defrays the expense of coinage, not
|
||
only incurs some small expense, but loses some small revenue which it
|
||
might get by a proper duty; and neither the bank, nor any other private
|
||
persons, are in the smallest degree benefited by this useless piece of
|
||
public generosity.
|
||
|
||
The directors of the bank, however, would probably be unwilling to agree
|
||
to the imposition of a seignorage upon the authority of a speculation
|
||
which promises them no gain, but only pretends to insure them from any
|
||
loss. In the present state of the gold coin, and as long as it continues
|
||
to be received by weight, they certainly would gain nothing by such a
|
||
change. But if the custom of weighing the gold coin should ever go into
|
||
disuse, as it is very likely to do, and if the gold coin should ever fall
|
||
into the same state of degradation in which it was before the late
|
||
recoinage, the gain, or more properly the savings, of the bank,
|
||
in consequence of the imposition of a seignorage, would probably be very
|
||
considerable. The bank of England is the only company which sends any
|
||
considerable quantity of bullion to the mint, and the burden of the annual
|
||
coinage falls entirely, or almost entirely, upon it. If this annual
|
||
coinage had nothing to do but to repair the unavoidable losses and
|
||
necessary wear and tear of the coin, it could seldom exceed fifty
|
||
thousand, or at most a hundred thousand pounds. But when the coin is
|
||
degraded below its standard weight, the annual coinage must, besides this,
|
||
fill up the large vacuities which exportation and the melting pot are
|
||
continually making in the current coin. It was upon this account, that
|
||
during the ten or twelve years immediately preceding the late reformation
|
||
of the gold coin, the annual coinage amounted, at an average, to more than
|
||
£850,000. But if there had been a seignorage of four or five per cent.
|
||
upon the gold coin, it would probably, even in the state in which things
|
||
then were, have put an effectual stop to the business both of exportation
|
||
and of the melting pot. The bank, instead of losing every year about two
|
||
and a half per cent. upon the bullion which was to be coined into more
|
||
than eight hundred and fifty thousand pounds, or incurring an annual loss
|
||
of more than £21,250 pounds, would not probably have incurred the tenth
|
||
part of that loss.
|
||
|
||
The revenue allotted by parliament for defraying the expense of the
|
||
coinage is but fourteen thousand pounds a-year; and the real expense which
|
||
it costs the government, or the fees of the officers of the mint, do not,
|
||
upon ordinary occasions, I am assured, exceed the half of that sum. The
|
||
saving of so very small a sum, or even the gaining of another, which could
|
||
not well be much larger, are objects too inconsiderable, it may be
|
||
thought, to deserve the serious attention of government. But the saving of
|
||
eighteen or twenty thousand pounds a-year, in case of an event which is
|
||
not improbable, which has frequently happened before, and which is very
|
||
likely to happen again, is surely an object which well deserves the
|
||
serious attention, even of so great a company as the bank of England.
|
||
|
||
Some of the foregoing reasonings and observations might, perhaps, have
|
||
been more properly placed in those chapters of the first book which treat
|
||
of the origin and use of money, and of the difference between the real and
|
||
the nominal price of commodities. But as the law for the encouragement of
|
||
coinage derives its origin from those vulgar prejudices which have been
|
||
introduced by the mercantile system, I judged it more proper to reserve
|
||
them for this chapter. Nothing could be more agreeable to the spirit of
|
||
that system than a sort of bounty upon the production of money, the very
|
||
thing which, it supposes, constitutes the wealth of every nation. It is
|
||
one of its many admirable expedients for enriching the country.
|